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- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 9
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- Sep 13, 2026
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- Jul 5, 2026
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Don’t bet against the house (opens the original)
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Last month, US support for the Japanese yen was described as “a signal of friendship.” This week, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sent currency traders a much stronger message: don’t bet against us. The yen has appreciated sharply in September. USD/JPY, which was trading above 160 at the start of the month, settled at 153.53 last Friday. From its July peak near 164, the yen has strengthened by more than six percent against the US dollar. In our Aug. 10 article, “A signal of friendship,” we d
Hawkish Warsh in Jackson Hole (opens the original)
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Last Friday, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole speech. His statements carry weight as these provide indications of how he will manage the Fed under his term. The Fed hosts an annual symposium in Jackson Hole that is attended by prominent central bankers and policy makers. Investors play close attention to this event as central bankers typically give a roadmap of where monetary policy is headed. They also explain new programs or changes that they will implement. In his speech
The long bond strikes back (opens the original)
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The world’s biggest bond market sent a warning last week. The yield on the 30-year US Treasury climbed to 5.34 percent, its highest level since 2007. The rise came as oil prices pushed inflation concerns higher and investors grew increasingly worried about America’s deteriorating fiscal position. US government debt has now crossed $40 trillion for the first time. Interest payments already exceed $1 trillion annually. With deficits remaining large and borrowing needs continuing to rise, investors
A signal of friendship (opens the original)
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On July 30, the Japanese yen staged one of its most violent reversals in decades. It had weakened to nearly 164 per dollar, its lowest level in 40 years. The yen then surged to an intraday high of 155.20 when Japan and the United States stepped in. By last Friday, the yen was trading around 158, but the message to currency traders was already clear. This was no ordinary intervention. Japan has stepped into the currency market several times in recent years. But this time, Washington joined Tokyo
The big bounce (opens the original)
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Last week played out like a Wall Street thriller. Days before the Federal Reserve meeting, Citadel Securities argued that Fed chair Kevin Warsh should deliver a surprise interest-rate hike as a “cleansing event.” Markets sold off sharply even though the Fed ultimately kept rates unchanged. Then came the twist. Situational Awareness LP (SALP), the highly leveraged AI fund run by 24-year-old Leopold Aschenbrenner, was forced to unload most of its public-equity portfolio. The buyer was Citadel. The
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