HeyJaredTom Waterhouse
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 2
- Latest publication
- Aug 28, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for iGB
- Top 500K sites
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 24, 2026
Latest articles
Hedging risk via prediction market contracts (opens the original)
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Los Angeles ice cream shop 28 Wishes says sales fall by about 20% when the temperature drops below 70°F (21°C). Since April, its owners have put about $20 a day on Kalshi weather contracts and report profits of up to $1,500 a month. A payout can offset lost sales on a cold day, but the hedge is imperfect. The contract settles on the temperature at a selected weather station, not the shop’s actual sales. It could therefore pay when the shop remains busy or fail to pay when cold weather keeps cust
How market makers are helping prediction markets compete (opens the original)
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Prior to this year’s Fifa World Cup only three players have ever scored ten goals at a single tournament, and none since 1970. Frenchman Kylian Mbappé became the fourth, finishing on ten and winning a second Golden Boot. The Argentinian, Lionel Messi, scored eight, while Spain ultimately lifted the trophy. The tournament expanded, but the familiar names dominated. In wagering, recreational money clusters around familiar names and favoured outcomes. When they all land together, the liability comp
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Top 500K sites
For iGB, the outlet · Measured Aug 1, 2026
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