HeyJaredRoger J Kerr
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 11
- Latest publication
- Sep 27, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for Interest.co.nz
- Top 500K sites
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 5, 2026
Latest articles
The RBNZ’s 'own goal' with NZ dollar depreciation (opens the original)
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Global bond market mayhem has implications for New Zealand RBNZ ignore exchange rate depreciation at their peril The RBA is set to hike interest rates again Absolute mayhem in global bond markets has dominated the headlines over this last week. The benchmark US 10-year Treasury Bond yield continuing to increase from 4.92 % to a high of 5.22% over the course of the week (back to 5.17% at the market Friday close). Everyman and his dog is struggling to explain why the sellers are dominating the buy
RBNZ pushes the NZ dollar lower, but they need it higher (opens the original)
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More often than not, it is the changes or movements in foreign exchange markets that do not occur that are more telling and informative than the movements that do occur. Up until a few weeks, global FX markets were marking the US dollar value higher against other currencies when US long-term Treasury Bond interest rates increased and/or when oil prices increased. Those connections and cause and effect relationships have seemingly broken down over recent times. It seems the currency markets are c
Conflicting signals for US and Australia interest rates, however no doubts about NZ interest rate direction (opens the original)
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There is no sign yet that Bessant’s intervention to reduce long-term interest rates is working, 10-year Treasury Bonds yields increased from 4.66% to 4.72% following Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. There is also no immediate fix to the ballooning fiscal deficit in the US that is causing the interest rates to increase, in fact the deficit is deteriorating at a faster clip with Trump’s defence spending and tax cuts. The inflation driver of interest rates is still very much in question as to whether i
The economy regains its mojo (opens the original)
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The US dollar traded down to a three-month low last week, depreciating in response to the surprising and unexpected intervention by the US Government in their own Treasury Bond market and also in response to continuing weak US economic data that reduces the probability of Fed interest rate hikes. The USD Dixy Currency Index has decreased 2.60% to 98.77 since the high of 101.40 on 27 July when oil prices started to increase again. The weaker US dollar has allowed the NZD/USD exchange rate to lift
US economic data consistently weaker (opens the original)
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While interest rate differentials have dominated the fortunes of the NZ dollar against the US dollar over recent years, there is no getting away from the fact that any currency value will ultimately be determined by its underlying economic fundamentals compared to the currency it is being quoted against. It was a rocky road for the New Zealand economy from the Covid years in 2020/2021 up until 12 months ago, dominated by lockdowns, excessive monetary/fiscal stimulus and then excessive monetary t
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