HeyJaredNathan L. Gonzales
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 10
- Latest publication
- Sep 29, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for Roll Call
- Top 500K sites
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 14, 2026
Latest articles
Confessions of a political handicapper (opens the original)
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ANALYSIS — What if we got it all wrong? That’s the question that usually goes through my mind at this point in every election cycle. Because 25 years of experience in analyzing elections has made me more humble, rather than more cocky. Political handicapping has a way of knocking people down a couple of notches. Do it long enough, and you’ll have a “miss” or two or three, whether it’s an individual race or an overall projection. I convinced myself that Democratic Rep. William J. Jefferson of Lou
Will there be more midterm conventions? (opens the original)
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ANALYSIS – After Republicans gathered in Dallas last week for a rare midterm convention, it’s worth pondering: Was it a one-off event or the beginning of a new election tradition? In recent decades, conventions have typically been reserved for party business, including the formal nomination of a presidential candidate. It had been more than 40 years since a party had officially gathered during a midterm election cycle. Prior to Dallas, it was the Democrats who’d met during a midterm year, conven
Rating changes: 10 races move toward Democrats, one toward Republicans (opens the original)
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The midterm primary season is nearly complete and the general election is less than two months away, but there’s still plenty of uncertainty in the House and Senate battlegrounds. Polls show Republican candidates and incumbents around the country underperforming in states and districts that typically vote for Republicans. If President Donald Trump can use a rare midterm convention to energize the party faithful and boost GOP turnout in the closing weeks by hitting the campaign trail, Republicans
Shades of 2006 loom large two months out from Election Day (opens the original)
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ANALYSIS — Despite adverse political conditions, Republicans still have an opportunity to hold both the House and the Senate this fall. But it’s also possible that the bottom will fall out from under them, leading to heavy GOP losses reminiscent of an election 20 years ago. Back in 2006, there was an unpopular Republican president in the White House. The country was mired in an unpopular war in the Middle East. Two-thirds of Americans were dissatisfied with the direction of the country. GOP stra
Rating changes: Seven more House races shift toward Democrats (opens the original)
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ANALYSIS — With two months to go before Election Day, Democrats continue to have the advantage in the fight for the House as Inside Elections shifts its race rating of seven more districts in the party’s favor. Some of the movement affects the current contours of the House battleground. The contest for California’s 21st District, represented by Democrat Jim Costa, moves from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic and off the list of competitive races as Republicans focus their resources elsewhere
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