HeyJaredMatt Shinners
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 22
- Latest publication
- Sep 29, 2026
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- Jul 7, 2026
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Polls Hint at a Blue Wave. Are the Independents Riding it? (opens the original)
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With 5 weeks until Election Day, the national question of who should control Congress has moved clearly toward Democrats. Their lead in the Silver Bulletin generic ballot average reached D+8.1 on September 28, which the site calls a high point for the party this cycle. The likely-voter-adjusted version of that average used in its forecast stands at D+9.2. That creates a clear test for the high-profile independent candidates as they face attacks that they're secretly Democrats in disguise. Dan Os
Is This Mic On? Dan Osborn Meets the Opposition Research Machine (opens the original)
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OMAHA, Neb.—The Nebraska Senate election is heating up as we head into the final two months ahead of the election. Independent Dan Osborn is challenging incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts. Osborn is making his second independent run, having lost to Sen. Deb Fischer by less than 7 points in 2024. Democratic Party leaders supported a primary candidate who said she would step down and let Osborn run head-to-head against the Republican, so no Democrat is on the ballot in a state Trump carried b
SHOCK UPSET: Incumbent Governor Loses Rhode Island Primary, Where Independent Ken Block is on November Ballot (opens the original)
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PROVIDENCE, R.I.—When Ken Block launched his campaign for governor, he told the Rhode Island Current that he was running as an independent because "[m]y flavor of politics doesn’t align well with either political party. Political parties by definition imply a healthy dose of partisanship—I am a problem solver, a manager, and the problems that Rhode Island suffers from aren’t problems that partisanship can address.” He also said that avoiding a "messy, expense, and damaging" primary process was a
Are The Independent Senate Candidates Really 'Toxic Socialist Democrats'? (opens the original)
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Republicans have converged on their messaging against the independent Senate candidates running in Nebraska, South Dakota, Idaho, and Montana: “Dan Osborn, Brian Bengs, Todd Achilles, and Seth Bodnar would work in lockstep with the toxic socialist Democrats to enact their woke agenda and raise taxes for American working families,” National Republican Senatorial Committee national press secretary Bernadette Breslin said (via NOTUS). It is not an isolated line. Sen. Jim Risch’s campaign manager, M
Forget the Polls. Bettors Are Putting Real Money on These Independent Candidates (opens the original)
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Betting markets have emerged as a rather contentious wrinkle in America's obsession with gambling. We've seen individuals banned and fined for betting on themselves or using insider information to trade. Whether you have an account on all the major sites or you think they're ruining society, there are a lot of people putting real money on the outcomes of upcoming elections. For the races featuring independents, there isn't a lot of high-quality polling, with many of the information coming from f
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