Marion Caldwell
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 8
- Latest publication
- Aug 10, 2026
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- Jul 19, 2026
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Tropics are active, but conditions remain unfavorable (opens the original)
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The Atlantic basin is becoming a little more active as we move deeper into August, with several areas being monitored for possible development. However, the overall environment remains unfavorable for tropical development, and there are no immediate threats to the Gulf Coast. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three areas across the Atlantic, including two tropical waves that are moving westward from Africa. The first tropical wave is located over the central tropical Atlantic, roughly
NOAA lowers 2026 Hurricane season forecast as strong El Niño suppresses Atlantic activity (opens the original)
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The Atlantic hurricane season is off to a notably quiet start, and NOAA is now even more confident that 2026 will end up as a below-normal season. In its updated outlook, NOAA gives the season a 75% chance of being below normal. That's up from 55%, and compared to a 20% chance of a near-normal season and just a 5% chance of an above-normal season. NOAA is now forecasting 7 to 13 named storms, 2 to 6 hurricanes and 0 to 2 major hurricanes through the end of November. Those numbers are slightly lo
Atlantic hurricane season remains quiet, but peak season is still ahead (opens the original)
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With dangerous heat being the focal point across Northwest Florida this week, it's been easy to forget we're in the heart of hurricane season. That's because the Atlantic has gotten off to an unusually quiet start. Several factors are working together to suppress tropical development across the Atlantic Basin. One of the biggest is a large plume of Saharan dust stretching across the tropical Atlantic. The dry, dusty air makes it difficult for thunderstorms to organize into tropical systems. At t
Storm chances increase as Northwest Florida's heat begins to ease (opens the original)
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After several days of dangerous heat, a gradual change in the weather pattern is finally on the way for Northwest Florida. While another Heat Advisory is in effect Thursday for much of the area, increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms will begin to chip away at the intense temperatures heading into the weekend. A strong area of high pressure that has fueled this week's extreme heat is weakening as an upper-level trough moves into the Southeast. That shift will allow more disturbances to
Northwest Florida's heat peaks again Wednesday before relief arrives (opens the original)
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If it feels like the heat just won't let up, there's a reason for it. An Extreme Heat Warning will once again be in effect from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. Wednesday for coastal Escambia, Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties as dangerous heat continues across Northwest Florida. Heat index values could reach 115 degrees, making Wednesday another day where spending too much time outdoors can quickly become dangerous. The main reason is a large area of high pressure, often called a "heat dome," that has been pa
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