HeyJaredJake Conley
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 12
- Latest publication
- Sep 30, 2026
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- Aug 27, 2026
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Persian Gulf crude oil flows have largely recovered. For diesel and gasoline, it's more complicated. - AOL (opens the original)
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Exports of crude oil have begun to normalize in the Persian Gulf, bringing some relief to global buyers. But in the refined market for products such as diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel, analysts say the picture looks tighter, more expensive, and slower to recover. While crude oil exports from the Persian Gulf region have returned to roughly 98% of their pre-war levels, product exports — of diesel, gasoline, and other derivatives — have recovered only to roughly 3 million barrels per day, or about
Bond yields push higher as investors digest global risks, higher-for-longer path for the Fed - AOL (opens the original)
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Yields on the longer end of the curve rose further to multidecade highs on Monday as a bond sell-off deepened. The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX), often referred to as the most critical number in global finance for its widespread use as a benchmark rate, advanced roughly 5 basis points to 5.25%, its highest level since 2007, when yields rose in the run-up to the Great Financial Crisis. Further out on the curve, 30-year Treasury yields (^TYX) advanced by 6 basis points to 5.57%, a level not touche
Oil prices rise as Iranian president warns Tehran won't bow to US, White House considers diesel export ban - AOL (opens the original)
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Oil prices jumped on Thursday after statements from both Tehran and Washington complicated the outlook for a resolution to the global energy crisis. Futures on Brent crude (BZ=F), the international benchmark, rose by more than 4% to trade above $107 per barrel, taking back losses over the past few days that had pushed the contract below the key $100 mark. Those on US WTI crude (CL=F) ticked up by roughly the same margin to trade near $96. Leading oil prices higher on Thursday were comments from
The future of AI growth rests on Big Tech's cash flow tripling to $2 trillion: Chart of the Day - AOL (opens the original)
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Big Tech's AI spending boom is carrying an ever-larger share of the US growth story. So far in 2026, investments tied to the AI build-out have been responsible for roughly one-fifth of US economic growth. This year alone, the four leading "hyperscalers" — Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), and Microsoft (MSFT) — are expected to spend roughly $800 billion in capital expenditures, or 10 times their spend in 2019, only seven years ago, per Goldman Sachs. Sustaining that investment,
Fed officials' forecasts project one more rate hike to come in 2026 - AOL (opens the original)
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Most Federal Open Market Committee members see the need for at least one more 25 basis point rate hike this year, as 12 out of 18 members that submitted projections pegged their view of appropriate monetary policy in 2026 at an average of 4.125%. That rate implies one more 25 basis point hike to come by year-end. Four committee members see 50 more basis points' worth of rate hikes in 2026 as appropriate, while only two members see no more hikes this year — suggesting that the new effective targe
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