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Iran is losing momentum, but the war is far from won (opens the original)
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The resumption of direct military confrontation between the United States and Iran provides further evidence that Tehran does not intend to easily relinquish the leverage over the Strait of Hormuz it gained during the war. After about a month without an American strike, U.S. forces overnight attacked two Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launchers on Larak Island, at the entrance to the strait, which U.S. Central Command said were intended to be used to lay sea mines. Within hours, the IRGC laun
Trump’s new bet on Iran: Break the economy, avoid another war (opens the original)
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President Donald Trump’s announcement of an operation to intensify Iran’s economic isolation signals a new phase in the campaign against the Islamic Republic. At this stage, it appears the U.S. president has become convinced that returning to a broad war does not guarantee the victory picture he seeks and could even complicate the situation, particularly given Iran’s ability to inflict significant damage on its neighbors and force the United States into a costly, protracted campaign amid growing
Going hardcore: Iran shifts to more aggressive posture under US blockade pressure (opens the original)
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The American naval blockade continues to exact a heavy economic price from Iran. Figures recently published by Iranian economist Masoud Nili point to a significant deterioration in economic indicators. Between 2018 and 2026, the exchange rate jumped nearly 50-fold, price levels rose more than 19-fold and 16 million people were added to the population living below the poverty line. About 5 million people in Iran were added to the working-age population, but the number of employed people grew by o
Iran's 'Game of Thrones': Power struggle intensifies as fighting recedes (opens the original)
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As Tehran awaits a decision by the regime’s top leadership on an agreement that could allow the Strait of Hormuz to reopen, significant political developments in recent days point to intensifying power struggles within Iran’s new leadership.The first concerns a wave of rumors that President Masoud Pezeshkian intends to resign. The president was forced to publicly deny the reports, saying in a televised interview that he had no intention of stepping down and that if he ever decided to do so, he w
War of attrition or compromise: Iran faces its 1988 dilemma (opens the original)
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The 38th anniversary of the adoption of UN Security Council Resolution 598, which ended the Iran-Iraq War, has sparked a lively public debate in Iran. Many see similarities between the circumstances in which the leader of the revolution, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, decided to accept a ceasefire with Iraq on July 18, 1988, and the current confrontation with the United States. This debate also reflects the internal dispute in Iran between pragmatists and radicals amid the renewed escalation betwe
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