HeyJaredDon Dawson
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 12
- Latest publication
- Sep 21, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for yahoo.com
- Top 1K sites
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 6, 2026
Latest articles
Crude Oil Three Rallies Before the Fall (opens the original)
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Each year, the U.S. gasoline market goes through an important seasonal transition. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) generally requires lower-volatility gasoline during the summer ozone season, beginning May 1 for refiners and terminals and June 1 for retailers, and generally ending September 15. Lower Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) gasoline reduces evaporative emissions during hot weather but can be more costly to produce. When these restrictions end, refiners transition toward winter-grade
S&P 500: Q4 Strength or Election Risk? (opens the original)
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Since 1928, the S&P 500 has averaged a 2.1% gain per calendar quarter, according to Bespoke Investment Group. However, those returns have not been distributed evenly throughout the year. The fourth quarter has historically been the strongest, producing an average gain of 2.9%. Seasonality does not guarantee a similar result in any given year, but it gives traders a historical benchmark as the market enters the final three months of the year. Goldman Sachs Expects Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to Raise R
Five Currencies, One Message: Is a 75-Day U.S. Dollar Rally Taking Shape? (opens the original)
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In August, I wrote an article for Barchart about a 75-day seasonal selling window in December Euro FX futures, asking whether traders were prepared for the potential decline. That pattern now deserves renewed attention. Additional 15-year seasonal studies show that several other U.S. dollar-paired currencies have historically weakened during the September window: December Swiss franc and New Zealand dollar futures declined in 14 of the past 15 years, while December Euro FX, British Pound, and Ja
August Wrap-Up Weather, Geopolitics, and Fuel Costs Keep Commodity Markets Busy (opens the original)
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August didn't follow the usual quiet late-summer script. Seasonal patterns took a back seat in some markets as real-world events—weather swings, Black Sea tensions, U.S.-Iran conflict, sticky inflation, and a sharp move higher in diesel—drove action across commodity markets. Here's a quick rundown of what shaped the month. Weather stayed front and center for grains. Parts of the U.S. Corn Belt experienced a mix of earlier excessive rainfall, July heat stress, and late-month heat and dryness in s
A 75-Day Seasonal Sell Window Is Opening in the Euro—Are You Prepared? (opens the original)
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The euro currency is approaching a seasonal period that deserves the attention of both investors and active market participants. The optimal window lasts approximately 75 calendar days, providing enough time for longer-term traders to establish a bearish position while also allowing shorter-term traders to sell into and out of positions when the euro technical setups develop. Seasonal patterns are not, by themselves, trade signals. They identify periods when a market has historically tended to m
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