HeyJaredDavid Skilling
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 2
- Latest publication
- Sep 16, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for Interest.co.nz
- Top 500K sites
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- Aug 20, 2026
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Capital wars are coming (opens the original)
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This post highlights a few selected arguments from my latest client note on capital wars. My central conclusion is that capital wars are more likely, and nearer-term, than widely expected. The note was discussed in a Financial Times column last week: The rapidly worsening US fiscal outlook – total federal debt has just passed $40 trillion – makes unorthodox macro policy increasingly likely. Measures to induce or require the Fed or private sector financial institutions to buy US Treasuries (fisca
The return of fiscal primacy (opens the original)
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Global economic and geopolitical regime change from the market state to state capitalism has been underway for the past several years, and is accelerating and intensifying. Macro policy is a core domain on which this global regime change will play out. The demands of geopolitical rivalry will lead to the accumulation of public debt: the post-Cold War peace dividend is over, and governments will need to spend more in areas such as military capability, industrial and innovation policy, and strateg
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