Michael R. Strain
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 7
- Latest publication
- Sep 24, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for aei.org
- Top 500K sites
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 6, 2026
Latest articles
Lies, Election Lies, and Trump’s Statisticians (opens the original)
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An obviously amateurish brief published by the US Census Bureau should raise alarms for all businesses, investors, and others who rely on official government statistics. By recklessly undermining trust in what should be an apolitical public service, Donald Trump is jeopardizing a critical pillar of American prosperity. WASHINGTON, DC—When US President Donald Trump fired the head of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics—claiming falsely that the agency’s economic data “were RIGGED” to make him “look
Heterogeneous Effects of Large and Small Minimum Wage Changes: Evidence Using a Partially Precommitted Analysis Plan (opens the original)
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Abstract: Through an analysis of minimum wages, we explore the prospects for harnessing the key benefits of preanalysis plans (namely, reductions in p-hacking) while mitigating their costs (namely, reductions in practicability) when used in nonexperimental settings. Our precommitted analyses emphasize heterogeneity in the minimum wage’s effects. We estimate that large recent minimum wage increases reduced employment among individuals with low levels of experience and education by just over 2.5 p
The Myth of the China Shock (opens the original)
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As advances in generative AI continue, US policymakers should heed two lessons from the opening of trade with China. But that will require them to rethink the conventional wisdom about deindustrialization and the decline of manufacturing employment. WASHINGTON, DC—Few issues in the public square are uncontested. But the narrative that the United States’ decision, driven by elite considerations, to open trade with China led to the loss of a large number of manufacturing jobs and deindustrializati
Tax Consumption, Not Income or AI (opens the original)
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In the US, prominent politicians and economists are calling for increases in capital and corporate income taxes to support expansions of social insurance, safety net and training programmes to help workers and households that might experience AI-related disruption. Others want to apply special taxes to AI companies or to the use of AI tools. These ideas are all misguided and would reduce the prosperity of the American people. If additional tax revenue is needed, it should come from taxing consum
Adults Are Responsible for How They Use AI (opens the original)
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A normative view: To lead a full and flourishing life, people should spend their time cultivating relationships with other people and not with generative AI chatbots. I thought of this while reflecting on a conversation between a mother and her adult son, as published in the New York Times: Ernie: If you’re constantly modifying [Max, your AI chatbot boyfriend] to get what you want, a concern that I have is that maybe the way that this is working for you might turn you off to human personal relat
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