HeyJaredBrooke Thackray
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 6
- Latest publication
- Oct 1, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for bnnbloomberg.ca
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- Sep 2, 2026
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U.S. and Canadian stock markets have bad breadth: Brooke Thackray (opens the original)
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Fewer and fewer stocks are moving the stock markets higher in the U.S. and Canada. This is a classic case of bad breadth. There are a lot of methods to measure market breadth, but all of them are essentially measuring the same thing: the degree to which all of the stocks in the index are participating in the broad stock market movement. Bad breadth occurs when the broad stock market is performing well, but most stocks are not participating in the rally. Both the S&P 500 and the S&P/TSX Composite
Canadian dollar faces three strikes against the U.S. dollar: Brooke Thackray (opens the original)
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The Canadian dollar versus the U.S. dollar has three strikes against it, driving it lower. Among the many factors driving the value of the Canadian dollar, three major ones point to further weakness. The spread on the yield between two- year Canadian and U.S. government bonds is becoming increasingly negative. The blue line in the chart below has been moving lower since early August. The two-year yield has been moving higher in both countries recently as expectations of further central bank tigh
Don’t fight the Fed - Opportunity coming up?: Brooke Thackray (opens the original)
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On Wednesday, Sept. 16, 2026, the U.S. Federal Reserve initiated its first policy rate hike since July 2023. There is an old Wall Street adage: “Don’t fight the Fed.” Should investors heed the adage, or is there a good entry opportunity in the stock market coming up? The year 2026 started with investors expecting the Federal Reserve to cut its federal funds rate late in the year, not hike. The graph below shows how expectations for a Federal Reserve hike in September started to increase in June
Government bonds are no longer a good hedge for equity declines: Brooke Thackray (opens the original)
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Government bond investors had a huge tailwind from 1981 to 2020 as long term government bond yields maintained an overall downward trend across four decades. Times have changed. yields on government bonds are trending higher. Bonds no longer provide the same level hedge against equity declines as they have over the last four decades. Interest rates started to fall in the early 1980s after central banks managed to crush the inflation of the 1970s with tight monetary policy. Investors reaped the b
U.S. midterm elections set to bring a buying opportunity: Brooke Thackray (opens the original)
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Investors do not like uncertainty and the stock market tends to perform poorly when uncertainty is high and increasing. Uncertainty is just around the corner, as the U.S. midterm elections take place on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. Currently, the Republicans hold majority control, with a narrow margin, in both the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives. If the Democrats were to gain control of either house of Congress, this could be problematic for Trump and the Republican Party. The Republ
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