HeyJaredArmin Ronacher
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 4
- Latest publication
- Sep 12, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for Armin Ronacher's Thoughts and Writings
- Top 5M sites
- Earliest in this view
- Aug 22, 2026
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P(doom) (opens the original)
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This week some flavor of “AI is going to kill us all” went viral. In particular one where an employee put his personal probability of that happening above 10%. Which made me go to the Wikipedia page of P(doom) and I realized that Dario Amodei’s apparent probability of something bad happening seems to be between 10-25%. And well, Dario then wrote about pacing the frontier . And Sam read it and wants to pace too. And well, so does Musk. I encourage you strongly to read the post, because I think it
Astra for Coding: Why Are We Doing This Again? (opens the original)
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I’m more and more convinced that all of AI engineering is Neijuan (内卷, meaning curl inwards). In China it describes a system that demands ever more effort and competition without improving output. The way in which it sometimes shows up in the West is the 996 nonsense. The English term for Neijuan is “Involution” from the book Agricultural Involution. Agricultural involution describes the intensification of farming that raises productivity per square meter while leaving productivity per head unch
Anger, Anxiety and Agency (opens the original)
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Sean Goedecke wrote a post arguing that you should never be angry at work — a post with which I strongly agree. Anger can be a useful signal, but being angry at work rarely improves the situation. More often, it makes life worse for the people around you, many of whom have no more power over the source of your anger than you do. I did learn that lesson, but it did not come naturally. One thing in particular that I learned is that in a company there is a shared vision, and if you don’t agree with
Fast and Hard Code (opens the original)
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One of the memes on Twitter is that “programming is solved now.” I’m not sure to what degree it is, but one thing is pretty clear: the act of familiarizing yourself with a language no longer matters and some of the friction that mattered for humans does not matter for agents. As a result, LLMs make language choice much less consequential than it used to be. If you don’t like the choice, you can seemingly rewrite it in another language and you can make it pick a language that you, as a programmer
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