HeyJaredAllison Thompson
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 12
- Latest publication
- Sep 25, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for Agweek
- Top 5M sites
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- Jul 10, 2026
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Summer is over, but the weather market isn't (opens the original)
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The calendar says the summer weather market should be over, but this year the forecast may matter just as much into fall. Corn is maturing, soybeans are dropping leaves and combines are rolling. Normally, rain is no longer adding many bushels by late September, and traders begin shifting their attention toward harvest results and demand. This year may be different. Weather still matters for getting the U.S. crop safely into the bin, while Brazil is just beginning the growing season that will det
The USDA numbers changed. The questions didn't (opens the original)
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The latest USDA report landed with a thud. Corn and soybeans moved lower as traders worked through the September yield estimates and updated balance sheets. This week, prices worked to recover. It would be easy to say the market misunderstood the report and is now correcting itself, but markets are rarely that simple. USDA changed plenty of numbers. What it did not do was answer the questions that will drive prices through harvest. How large is the crop really? Will demand remain strong? And wer
The risk of a good market (opens the original)
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There is a funny thing that happens when a market finally starts acting like producers hoped it would. We spent years waiting for a sizable rally. We waited through low prices, disappointing basis levels, bearish headlines, and the usual reasons the market supposedly could not improve. Then the rally comes. Corn moves higher for three straight weeks. Soybeans begin acting like a market with a real demand story. Wheat catches fire on Black Sea headlines. Suddenly, making a sale feels much harder
Harvest hasn't started but the rally has (opens the original)
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As the calendar turns to September, the usual expectation is straightforward. Combines begin to roll, elevators fill, basis weakens, farmer selling increases, and futures work lower under the weight of a crop finally becoming available. The harvest low is not guaranteed every year, but it happens often enough that it shapes nearly every marketing conversation this time of year. This year, the market is trading against that script. Corn and soybeans have rallied before the first meaningful wave o
When corn and soybeans tell different stories (opens the original)
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The Pro Farmer Crop Tour did not find a crop disaster, but it found two very different crops. Pro Farmer estimates the national corn yield at 173.2 bushels per acre, well below USDA’s August estimate of 180.7. Its soybean estimate moved in the opposite direction, coming in at 53.3 bushels per acre. That would exceed USDA’s current estimate of 52.7 and establish a new national record. The market’s initial reaction has been just as divided, with corn trading to new highs for the year while soybean
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