HeyJaredAdam Lemon
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
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- Oct 1, 2026
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Forex Today 01/10: oft US PCE Cuts Fed Hike Bets (opens the original)
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US PCE inflation data came in softer than expected yesterday. Headline prices rose 0.3% in August and 3.4% over the year, against a 3.7% annual forecast. Core PCE rose 0.2% on the month and 3.0% annually, below forecasts of 0.3% and 3.3%. Earlier figures were also revised lower, so this was more than a small miss in one month’s data.An October US Fed hike now looks less likely. Markets reduced its implied probability to around 35% after the PCE release, compared with about 70% a week earlier. Th
Forex Today 30/09: US PCE Inflation Significant (opens the original)
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US PCE inflation is the priority today. The August report is due at 12:30 GMT, after this item is published. Economists expect both headline and core PCE prices to rise by 0.3% month-on-month, leaving their annual rates at 3.7% and 3.3%, respectively—still well above the Fed’s 2% target. A higher-than-expected core reading would strengthen the case for another hike and could support the US Dollar and Treasury yields; a softer reading could have the opposite effect.Fed officials disagree over how
Forex Today 29/09: RBA Hikes Rates (opens the original)
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The RBA delivered its fourth hike this year earlier today. Its board voted unanimously to raise the cash rate from 4.35% to 4.60%, bringing this year’s increases to a full percentage point, and giving it the highest interest rate of any major currency. The Bank said inflation remains too high, and that high energy costs and weak domestic productivity are adding to the risk of further price rises. It remains prepared to hike again if needed.The Australian Dollar has fallen despite the hike. AUD/U
GBP/USD Near a Pivotal Market Test (opens the original)
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Top Regulated Brokers1 Get Started 74% of retail CFD accounts lose money Read Review Although the last couple of weeks or so have seen relatively strong action in the GBP/USD currency pair things certainly got quieter towards the end of last week. It is possible, though, that action is going to heat up now and begin a process of reversals in what we have become used to when watching cable. As is usually the case, this is likely to be driven more by how markets view the US Dollar than the outlook
Forex Today 28/09: US Dollar, Crude Oil Moderately Higher (opens the original)
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The US Dollar remains strong, dominating action in the Forex market. The Dollar Index is rising again after trading above 101.00 late last week. EUR/USD is near 1.1380, while GBP/USD is around 1.3230. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets now price an approximate 70% probability of another Fed rate hike at its late October meeting, up from about 56% early last week.US Treasury yields reached fresh long-term highs. The 10-year yield touched 5.2297% on Friday, its highest since 2007, before
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