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HeyJared

Value & Momentum Portfolio

I'm Denis D., a private investor and former Lazard and Rothschild M&A banker. I do the deep fundamental work most won't on under-covered names, and run proprietary quantitative screens with clear verdicts and conviction level.

Newsletter · By Value & Momentum Portfolio · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
15
Latest publication
Sep 29, 2026
Audience
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Earliest in this view
Sep 9, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 29, 2026

    Buy Alert: A Legacy Tech Name Is Quietly Becoming a High-Growth Software Story (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    A legacy technology name is quietly turning into something very different. Its fastest-growing software business just posted roughly 27% year-over-year growth, management raised guidance again, and a new commercial platform win added more than $100 million to an already substantial royalty backlog. The most interesting part is not just higher unit volumes, but the potential for materially more software content per end product.If that shift proves repeatable, I think the market may still be under

  2. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    Buy Alert: A biotech witch an asymmetric payoff (opens the original)

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    A small drug company just launched a new treatment for thyroid eye disease, a condition that makes the eyes bulge and can threaten vision. The only big drug on the market today works well but requires many long hospital infusions. This new version works about as well, with fewer and shorter visits.The same company is also building a second version that patients can inject themselves at home, less often than the home version the current market leader is developing.The stock looks cheap because in

  3. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    Buy Alert: A Cash-Rich Commodity Producer Entering Its Next Growth Phase (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    This is a profitable European commodity producer entering a potentially important growth phase with a strong balance sheet and substantial net cash. Its existing operation already generates meaningful cash flow, while a pipeline of brownfield projects could materially expand production without relying on a highly leveraged funding model. The shares have already rerated, so the opportunity now depends less on simple multiple expansion and more on successful permitting, cost discipline and executi

  4. Issue · Sep 25, 2026

    Sprout Social (SPT): Stock Target Price Forecast & Full Valuation Analysis (Sept. 2026) (opens the original)

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    <img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="432" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!As0H!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ecc00b3-6b36-4dfa-b086-d585192e0034_768x432.webp"

  5. Issue · Sep 25, 2026

    Buy Alert: High FCF Yield, Expanding Margins, Mispriced Duration (opens the original)

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    This is a mature, highly cash-generative business whose growth has slowed, but whose margins, free cash flow and per-share economics continue to improve.The market has aggressively compressed the valuation, creating a setup where I estimate a ~20% probability-weighted IRR over 3 years, with meaningful upside if cash-flow durability holds and the multiple simply normalizes.In this short article , I break down the growth slowdown, margin expansion, AI risk, valuation gap, takeover optionality, tec

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