HeyJaredTuskCast
Inside the Republican invisible primary of 2024, from the perspective of a political scientist smotus.substack.com
- Indexed pieces, last 90 days
- 15
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- Sep 29, 2026
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- Aug 17, 2026
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Latest pieces
Why Republicans will stick with Trump even after a brutal midterm election (opens the original)
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I’m grateful to for inviting me on his excellent Worth Knowing podcast this week. We built on what I’d written last week about Republicans pivoting (or not) in the wake of a bad midterm election. We discussed the limited ways that some Republican congressional candidates are criticizing Donald Trump right now in the lead up to the November election, and the costs that Republicans pay for sticking with him in the long run. I hope you’ll listen, and be sure to check
Predicting the presidential nominees... from their announcement speeches (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="509" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SOe6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda1092c3-2a4c-42d7-a266-0120a2730a18_899x509.png" w
What if November is catastrophic for the GOP? (opens the original)
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posed a good question on Bluesky the other day:Now I would say that while some on the left may be understating the wave that is coming in November, others may well be overstating it, and I don’t like to assume dramatic results for fear of tempting the wrath of whatever from high atop the thing. But it’s worth thinking about this possibility: Could the GOP pivot or “learn” from a difficult election? Could it distance i
And that’s why you never do a midterm convention (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="377" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LDmv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa18d514f-b9b2-4dd2-b3b9-aad5e3d60b04_670x377.png" w
Our four constitutional crises (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="970" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Wzx6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f4e6629-acb6-418b-9b53-e2dc6ff0035c_2048x1365.j
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