Tuomas Malinen on Geopolitics and the Economy
PhD, CEO, and Associate Professor of Economics. 20 years of training in economics and nearly a lifetime of training in geopolitics. I provide you with an unyielding and uncensored view.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 22
- Latest publication
- Sep 28, 2026
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- Aug 26, 2026
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The strength and intellect of Iran (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="980" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1qMT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6f60043-6f5e-47bd-a1dc-d661bdf01fc2_1712x1152.j
The Double Trouble (opens the original)
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Calling out the (nuclear) bluff of President Trump (opens the original)
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In the coming days, I will continue on detailing the inner-workings of the drivers behind the war in the Middle East. This is because there continue to be major misconceptions about A) who’s truly in control of the conflict in the Middle East and B) how the conflict is likely to end. I have started to feel secondhand embarrassment from the US analysts grasping at straws about the war, e.g., in CNBC. They are rather clueless about what’s coming, probably because their hypotheses have been based o
How Iran plans to end the war? (opens the original)
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I think that today I need to revisit my semi-cryptic entry from yesterday regarding the likely path of the Iran-U.S. (Israel) war and how Iran determines (sees) it. As most of you know, I have been an unyielding empiricist since I started my career as an economist as a student of Economics at the University of Oulu. Probably due to my mother, a retired lecturer of history who taught me to look behind the narrative of every major (historical) development for its true drivers, I’ve always deep-ana
Khâstan tavânestan ast (opens the original)
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This week I’ll be returning to our gold price and S&P 500 forecasts. As I have noted, they have failed miserably to anticipate the direction of both gold and silver prices. The likely reason, like with Brent and WTI crude, has been market manipulation. Subscribe nowWhile the White House, due to the extreme fragility of President Trump, has (most likely) manipulated the futures markets for oil throu
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