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Trader Alpha Substack

Daily NQ and ES market profile hypos before the cash open. TPO, orderflow, and institutional macro, all in one read.

Newsletter · By Trader Alpha · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
26
Latest publication
Oct 1, 2026
Audience
Checking…
Earliest in this view
Aug 26, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Oct 1, 2026

    Hypo 1st October 2026 (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    The market traded entirely above the prior settle 30698 during the overnight session, so the counter auction (c/a) is short. We will open within the prior day range; therefore, the balanced trading guidelines remain applicable. Expectations are c/a, imbalance down. Acceptance below Prior day VAL/Halfback 30785 opens the path towards prior day low, ONL, and lower values.In case of failed c/a, imbalance up. Acceptance above Prior day High 30906, targets will be prior week high, ONH, and higher val

  2. Issue · Sep 30, 2026

    Hypo 30th September 2026 (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    The market traded mostly above the prior settle 30613 during the overnight session, so the counter auction (c/a) is short. We will open within the prior day's range; therefore, the balanced trading guidelines remain applicable.Trader Alpha Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.<input class

  3. Issue · Sep 29, 2026

    Hypo 29th September 2026 (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    The market traded mostly below the prior settle 30566 during the overnight session, so the counter auction (c/a) is long. We will open within the prior day range; therefore, the balanced trading guidelines remain applicable.Expectations are c/a, imbalance up. Acceptance above Prior day High 30759 opens the path towards CVA1 high, naked VPOC above, and higher values.In case of failed c/a, imbalance down. Acceptance below CVA1 Low 30515, targets will be ONL/prior day low and lower values. Lis abov

  4. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    Hypo 28th September 2026 (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    The market traded entirely below the prior settle 30889 during the overnight session, so the counter auction (c/a) is long. We will open around the lows but still within the prior day range; therefore, the balanced trading guidelines remain applicable.Trader Alpha Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.<input class="email-input" name="email" tabindex="-1" ty

  5. Issue · Sep 25, 2026

    Hypo 25th September 2026 (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    The market traded mostly above the prior settle 30766 during the overnight session, so the counter auction (c/a) is short. We will open with a gap; therefore, gap trading guidelines remain applicable.Expectations are c/a, imbalance down. Acceptance below the CVA1 High/Prior day High 30830, targets will be prior day VPOC, CVA1 low, and lower values.In case of failed c/a, (Gap & Go) imbalance up. Acceptance above ONH 30999, opens the path towards Tuesday high, and higher values.Lis above: ONH 3099

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