HeyJaredThunder Dan's Thoughts: Fantasy Sports and Betting
MLB, NFL, and NBA Sports Betting Strategy, Trends, and Picks thunderdanbets.substack.com
- Indexed pieces, last 90 days
- 12
- Latest publication
- Sep 28, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Jul 9, 2026
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Latest pieces
Monday Night Football - 9/28 (opens the original)
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Good morning, friends!Week 3 results were CONSIDERABLY better than Week 2, though the Seahawks really pissed me off. Failing to cover is one thing, but losing as touchdown favorites on the road against a backup QB - as the reigning Super Bowl champs riding a huge win streak - was just really lousy, and ruined the main ML parlay.Tonight’s game should be an interesting one. The Eagles are 2-0, but just 3.5-point favorites on the road despite the Bears having to roll with their 3rd string QB, Case
Week 3 Sunday NFL Bets, Teaser, Parlay (opens the original)
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Here’s where I am for the rest of the Week 3 Card for now. If we get some more juicy props, I will send out another update tomorrow!NFL Game BetsSeattle -7 (-115 ProphetX)I like this at -7 or lower, but not going to -7.5Las Vegas +3.5 (-113 Novig), +3 (+100 ProphetX)I like the Raiders at +3 or better.NE-JAX under 46.5 (-106 Novig)CIN over 23.5 points (+100 DK) KC over 27.5 points (-120 DK)<a class="button primary" href="https://thunderdanbets.substack.com/subscrib
Thursday Night Football - 9/24 (opens the original)
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Good morning, friends!Football is back, with the Packers hosting the Falcons. I have a few plays from this game to drop here, but I also want to get the first bunch of props out for Sunday, as these odds are already moving!I’ll likely drop the rest of my game bets, parlays, and teasers tomorrow - stay tuned!Subscribe nowTNF: ATL at GBKyle Pitts over 35.5 receiving yards (-111 BetMGM)Pitts has been a non-factor for the Falcons so far, BUT t
Thursday Night Football + Sunday Main Plays (opens the original)
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We are only about 9 hours from Week 2 of the NFL kicking off. Sometimes I like to feature this game with a separate article, but I also have enough bets and props for the main slate ready to go, so I am wrapping it all up in one (for now).No baseball bets today - K props were largely a bust last night. I only have so much energy to devote to this stuff every day. I’ll wait for another slate; we aren’t done with them entirely, though.I’ll start with the Sunday Parlay and Teaser. These are usually
NFL Week 1 Summary (opens the original)
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Good morning, friends. The first week of the NFL season has been a whirlwind, and last night’s game was a clunker from a betting perspective. While the results were good from the Seattle game, they were NOT from the Rams game, boooo.But we can now focus on the main slate, with a ton of great opportunities to make some dough.I have been dripping out a lot of various types of bets over the last week, but I wanted to make sure I had them all in one post for you ahead of Sunday. And I am resisting t
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