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The Saretsky Report

Weekly musings on the Canadian housing market, interest rates, and the economy.

Newsletter · By Steve Saretsky · English · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
10
Latest publication
Sep 28, 2026
Audience
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Earliest in this view
Jul 6, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    The Unsold Condo Tax (opens the original)

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    Happy Monday Morning!For the past several years this newsletter has been detailing the housing bear market. For example, last year we noted that the Greater Vancouver resale market experienced a 25 year low in annual home sales. Ouch. However, if you think that’s bad, the new construction market is even worse. Sales are at a complete standstill, experienced developers are going bust, lenders are taking huge losses, insolvencies are far from bottoming, and land prices for new development have cra

  2. Issue · Sep 21, 2026

    Shadow Inventory (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    Happy Monday Morning!The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25bps and penciled in an additional rate hike later this year. Officials voted unanimously to increase the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4% on Wednesday. It was the US central bank’s first rate increase since July 2023.What does this mean for Canadians, and specifically, housing?Well, as my good friend Rob Mclister with Mortgage Logic points out, in the last three decades, the BoC rate has never sat more than 175 bp

  3. Issue · Sep 14, 2026

    Floating Rates (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    Happy Monday Morning!All eyes are on the bond market these days. Global bond markets are in the midst of a synchronized selloff, with yields hitting multi-year or multi-decade highs across the US, UK, Germany, Japan, and Canada simultaneously. The US 10-year Treasury climbed to nearly 5% ahead of this week's Fed meeting, with seemingly more room to run, despite governments best efforts to contain the move. Per Bloomberg’s macro strategist, “Inflation is still uncomfortably above target and the f

  4. Issue · Aug 31, 2026

    The Cost of Holding an Asset (opens the original)

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    Happy Monday Morning!More pain for landlords in BC. Already grappling with a 31 year high in the vacancy rate, a shrinking population for the first time in history, and a record number of purpose-built rentals in the pipeline, the BC government announced it will cap rent increases at 2.2% in 2027. <sour

  5. Issue · Aug 24, 2026

    National Bottoms (opens the original)

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    Happy Monday Morning!Canada’s largest bank, RBC, is calling the bottom. <img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="326" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AfEl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaw

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