HeyJaredTHE PIVOT
Navigating the transition from a Democracy to an Autocracy through the lens of Crypto, Stocks, Science, History and Humor.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 20
- Latest publication
- Sep 29, 2026
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- Aug 28, 2026
Latest issues
Rates continue their climb higher. (opens the original)
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Today’s Market Update: Rates, Bonds and Bitcoin’s Breakout StructureToday I want to focus primarily on interest rates and the bond market, because that is where I think some of the most important macro signals are developing.There is no crystal ball for forecasting the 10-year Treasury. Rates are heavily influenced by policy decisions, intervention and … Read more
All about Blow Off Tops. (opens the original)
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Understanding Blow-Off Tops: When a Strong Move Becomes DangerousThis technical Quick Byte focuses on an important distinction: the difference between a healthy impulsive move higher and a true blow-off top.Both can look extremely bullish while they are happening, but I treat them very differently. A sustained impulsive move can remain bullish for a lon… Read more
Bessent is playing Chicken with the Bond Market. (opens the original)
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Today’s Market SummaryThe markets are sitting in an unusually difficult position. My concern is that several macro pressures are building at the same time—rising bond yields, a strengthening dollar, weakness in the Japanese yen, and the possibility of further rate hikes—yet Bitcoin and crypto are refusing to behave the way they historically have during … Read more
All about the Fibonacci 50% Retracement (opens the original)
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Today’s Topic: The 50% Fibonacci RetracementThis Quick Byte is a little different from the usual market updates. Rather than covering macro conditions or the day’s price action, this is a topic-specific walkthrough of one of the tools I use most often: the 50% Fibonacci retracement.The basic idea is simple: when an asset makes a strong move higher, I generally don’t want to chase the breakout. Instead, I wait for the market to retrace part of that move and look for an opportunity to enter or add
Magnet tool surprise today! (opens the original)
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Today’s Market SummaryToday’s focus is increasingly on whether we are seeing enough confluent evidence to say that Bitcoin’s bear market may be ending. I’m not ready to declare that conclusively yet because I still expect a meaningful retracement, but the number of signals turning bullish continues to grow.Outside of crypto, the dollar remains an import… Read more
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