HeyJaredThe Message Box
A newsletter for people who want to defeat Donald Trump and MAGA extremism from a former Senior Advisor to Barack Obama
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 18
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- Sep 29, 2026
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- Aug 24, 2026
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Are the Polls Too Good to Be True? (opens the original)
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I just spent the weekend in Austin, where we did a Pod Save America show at the Texas Tribune Festival and knocked doors with the Travis County Democrats for James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa.Every Democrat I spoke with was incredibly excited about the election, but almost uncomfortable with the good news. It’s been a long time since a Democrat led in the polls in a Texas statewide race. Even Beto O’Rourke never led the polling average in 2018.Everyone said some version of the same thing: “I feel
Trump’s Illegal and Politically Asinine Ad Campaign (opens the original)
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Maybe you were watching football this weekend and saw this ad.You may not have paid it much attention, especially if you live in a battleground state or district where the airwaves are already saturated with political ads.But this isn’t your typical political ad. A candidate, the RNC or some innocuously named super PAC didn’t pay for it. Do you know who did?You did!The tagline at the end says “Paid for by the U.S. Government.” That means it was paid for with your tax dollars. It’s one of at le
When Did Voters Stop Caring About Policy? (opens the original)
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Welcome to this week’s mailbag, which I’m writing from Austin, Texas. People here (in this very blue part of Texas) are VERY fired up for the midterms. There’s a lot to discuss with less than 40 days to go, but first, some housekeeping.These mailbags are for paid subscribers. If you want your question answered, and to read my answers to everyone else’s, please consider becoming a paid subscriber.Subscribe nowIf you’re already a subscriber, leave your question for next week in
No One Should Panic About the NYT Poll in Maine (opens the original)
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Democratic operatives and activists have been holding their breath, waiting for a New York Times/Siena poll of Michigan’s Senate race. Rumors started circulating earlier in the week that the Times had a poll in the field, and people worried it could show a race closer than the vibes suggested.Well, as it turns out, Democrats were right to be worried. We were just worried about the wrong thing.The Times ran three polls: Michigan, New Hampshire, and Maine. In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed led by five p
40 Days Out: Democrats Have the Edge in Both Chambers (opens the original)
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We are now just 40 days from Election Day. Your TVs and your feeds are filled with ads. Several polls drop every day. Some states are already voting.The election is in full swing.And it’s never been harder to follow politics. There is so much drama, so much propaganda, so many polls, and an avalanche of ads showing up via our personal algorithms. I say this as someone whose literal job is to follow politics: it’s never been harder to separate the signal from the noise. To know what matters and w
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