HeyJaredThe Fearless Canaan Weatherman's Substack
I provide weather forecasts and climate records for the Canaan Valley, WV High Country at elevations above 3,000 feet.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 8
- Latest publication
- Sep 24, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Jul 16, 2026
Latest issues
First Widespread Frost of Fall Likely Tonight (opens the original)
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Recommend taking precautions as appropriate for freeze-sensitive crops…It’s looking increasingly likely that the first widespread frost of the season, running about a week or two later than average for colder valley bottoms like Canaan, will develop tonight across the typically favored elevated low spots of Canaan Valley, Dolly Sods, Beaver Creek, and similar terrain.While frost can form even when air temperatures remain above freezing (a non‑killing frost, since official thermometers sit 6 ft.
Atlantic Warmth, Record Strong El Niño, Weak Hurricane Season, and the Coming Winter: Odds Tilting Towards a Sharpened, Amplified Season Ahead (opens the original)
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Overview: The historically quiet Atlantic hurricane season (zero hurricanes to date) has left an enormous reservoir of ocean heat that normally vents into the atmosphere through tropical storms. With that release mechanism absent, the retained warmth becomes a potential pattern amplifier for winter across the Mid‑Atlantic and the Allegheny Highlands of West Virginia. The results are less likely to be a uniformly “warm winter”, but rather a season defined by volatility, extremes, and sharp region
9-10-26 National Weather Service EL NIÑO Update (opens the original)
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Here’s the latest (a bit technical) directly from the “the horse’s mouth”EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued byCLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 10 September 2026ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño AdvisorySynopsis: El Niño is strengthening, with a greater than 90% chance of a very
United Nations Warns “El Niño is Surging. Months of Extreme Heat Could Follow”. (opens the original)
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Through it’s a specialized agency, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), of the United Nations (UN) is widely recognized as the premier world authority on El Niño forecasts and global climate advisories. While scientific agencies like the United States’ NOAA and Japan’s JAMSTEC conduct extensive primary research and monitoring, the WMO serves as the ultimate global synthesizing b
SPECIAL REPORT: Are Bald Mountain Summits Surrounding Canaan Valley, West Virginia True Alpine Timberlines? (opens the original)
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IntroductionFor much of my life, I’ve been fascinated by how elevation shapes mountain environments; temperatures, precipitation types and amounts, glaciers, vegetative zones, and the upper limits of tree growth (timberline/treeline). For good reason. In only three miles up vertically, one goes from a range of tropical heat and vegetation to permanent snow and glaciers. When I would give weather talks at schools during early summer, I started the discussion by stating, “do you know it’s going to
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