HeyJaredThe Data Dugout
MLB analysis with statistical storytelling. The Data Dugout newsletter breaks down players, prospects, and trends with data-driven insight for fans of all levels.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 13
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- Sep 29, 2026
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- Jul 7, 2026
Latest issues
Wild Card Preview (opens the original)
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The MLB regular season wrapped up Sunday, and all eyes have shifted to the Wild Card round. It’s that time of the year again!The last Wild Card team to win the World Series was the Texas Rangers in 2023. They beat the Diamondbacks, another Wild Card team, in the Fall Classic. Is it possible we see that happen again in 2026? In this sport, if one team gets hot, they can beat anyone & this round often provides the groundwork for a deep Postseason run. <a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" h
Revisiting the Biggest Trade Deadline Moves (opens the original)
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Remember that trade deadline back in July? Two months later, we can see who won these hyper-important moves. Front offices were under a microscope during the deadline, and although it has faded away from headlines — it doesn’t take the importance away from it. This article reviews the biggest moves of the deadline and how the players have fared up to this point. Subscribe nowThe biggest splash of all the moves was undoubtedly Tarik Skubal to the
Prospect Analysis: Justin Lebron (opens the original)
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The Reds used the 18th overall pick in this year’s MLB Draft on Alabama shortstop Justin Lebron. Just a few months later, he’s already giving them plenty of reasons to feel good about it. Entering the 2026 college season, it was a toss up between Lebron and Roch Cholowsky for the No. 1 pick on mock drafts. But a challenging year at the plate for Justin dropped him out of the top pick conversations. But that hasn't stopped the 21-year-old from tearing through High-A, showing off the speed and off
MLB September Call-Ups You Need to Know (opens the original)
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We’re into the last month of regular season play in the MLB, but some guys are just getting started. Players and prospects around the league are getting their first shot at playing in the big leagues due to the annual September call-ups. When the calendar flips to September, the MLB allows teams to carry 28 players on the MLB roster — which is an additional two compared to the normal 26-man roster. While it’s often used for utility or bullpen depth, some teams are bringing up young prospects. It
September’s Outlier Report (opens the original)
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This is the fifth edition of the Outlier Report — a monthly series where I identify a handful of players that are due for a meaningful shift in performance, whether that’s a breakout coming or a slump on the way.By leaning on expected statistics — xBA, xSLG, xwOBA — alongside various Statcast metrics, we can see where reality and results have drifted apart. That gap is what this report exposes. This season, the Outlier Report has predicted breakouts / regressions at a 85% success rate.If you are
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