The Climate Casino
Prof. Eliot Jacobson, on the collapse of global industrial civilization, the sixth great extinction, and related topics.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 11
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- Sep 24, 2026
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- Jul 8, 2026
Latest issues
Taking the Dive into Paid Subscriptions (opens the original)
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Well, I finally did it. I turned on paid subscriptions today. In case you want to know what more you will receive as a paid subscriber that unpaid subscribers won’t get, the answer is nothing. I am opposed to paywalled content of any sort, especially when my content centers on the collapse of global industrial civilization and the sixth great extinction. Yes, writers should get paid for their writing if they want to go that route, but at least when discussing the end of everything, in my humble
Doctor Strange-“Window of Opportunity” (opens the original)
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Sometime around 2021, my favorite black-hat doomer friend Sam Mitchell told me to watch out for the cliché phrase “Window of Opportunity” — it was everywhere and it was eternal; it preached that there was a way out when there was surely no way out. We could make it through the window while it was still open, but just barely, because it was rapidly closing! There was still h-h-h-ho-hope!So I started paying attention. And then, just as surely as Sam forecast, there it was, and there it was again,
CO₂-equivalent the Easy Way (opens the original)
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What is CO₂e and Why it MattersThe quick and dirty. This is an essay about how to compute one of the numbers that is being used to predict future warming. If you care the least bit about the collapse of global industrial civilization and have the patience to wade through a bit of math, you might enjoy what follows. To begin our journey, globally averaged CO₂ peaked this year at 428.67 parts per million (ppm) in April ([1]). For historical reference, CO₂ was about 277 ppm ([2]) in 1750.
An Open Letter to the Community Environmental Council (opens the original)
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[I originally published a version of this article on October 19, 2023, which is no longer available. Just yesterday I discovered that our local Community Environmental Council is still using the falsehood addressed in the original article. So, I am posting the 2023 article again, with a few edits and updates for 2026.]Way back in August, 2023, I was in a bad mood …Let me explain. My bad mood started on August 23, 2023, when I read the quote below from the Santa Barbara “Community Environmental C
1.25 Million Hiroshimas per Day (opens the original)
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Over the most recent 12-month period, the planet has been warming on average at a rate of about 14.45 Hiroshima bombs per second, or about 1.25 million Hiroshima bombs per day (HpD). In total, this comes out to about 455 million Hiroshima bombs worth of planetary warming over the last 12 months.<div class="image2-inset
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