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The baseball analytics newsletter built on proprietary models. Advanced stats, breakout potential, fantasy baseball edge. Numbers, Not Feelings.

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Indexed issues, last 90 days
24
Latest publication
Sep 29, 2026
Audience
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Earliest in this view
Sep 2, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 29, 2026

    The Division Winners Earned It. The Wild Card Bats Might Steal It Anyway. (opens the original)

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    Let me say the unpopular part first, because I have been saying it all year. A division title means something. Winning the division is the thing every team sets out to do in March, and the clubs that did it earned an authority that a wild card team, by definition, did not. If a wild card team were good enough, it would have won its own division. It didn’t. That is not an insult. It is just the standings telling you who cleared the bar and who snuck in the side door.<a class="image-link image2 is

  2. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    The MLB Playoffs Are here. Here’s What the Numbers Say to Watch (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    Six months and 162 games built the field. Now eight teams get three games to keep playing. The 2026 Wild Card Series starts Tuesday with Phillies-Braves, White Sox-Astros, Red Sox-Yankees and Cubs-Padres. Every series has a completely different problem hiding underneath it.Philadelphia survived Game 162, but had to use Zack Wheeler to do it. Now Chris Sale is waiting in Atlanta. Houston won the AL West at exactly .500. That record disappears Tuesday, but the flaws that produced it don’t. Boston

  3. Issue · Sep 27, 2026

    The Objectively Worst Division Winner in History (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Critical tone

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    Somewhere tonight, in Minneapolis or in Sacramento, a team with potentially a losing record is going to get handed a division title and a trip to October. In a full season, it has never happened. The two teams fighting over the ignominious distinction of doing it first, the Rangers and the Astros, are well aware of the history. The Astros can win the Title by winning. The Rangers need a win and a Houston loss, so they legitimately cannot simply win the Title.Forget the standings for a secondIf t

  4. Issue · Sep 27, 2026

    103 Wins. One 21-Year-Old Starter. No Playoffs. (opens the original)

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    Dusty Baker, always mindful of what a rookie has to put up with in an MLB clubhouse, treated a rookie pitcher to dinner the night before the biggest start of the season. Tim Kurkjian later wrote that Dusty’s penchant for rookies led some of his players to be vocal, wanting veteran Dave Burba on the mound

  5. Issue · Sep 25, 2026

    Breaking Bad? Something’s Gotta Give? Big Jake? (opens the original)

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    The American League West is dead. Oops. I meant to say a dead heat. I’ll leave it; it seems to fit. "I have never lied to you. I have always told you some version of the truth."The Astros and the Rangers are both 79-80 with three games left, tied for a division that has become the laughingstock for the American League. Every wild card is spoken for; the Yankees, the Red Sox, and the White Sox have all clinched. Neither of these two can reach one, so the division title is the only door either tea

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