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Teddy Should Not Have Won

Nationals Baseball, Explained Through Data — by a Lifelong Fan

Newsletter · By George Lewis · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
9
Latest publication
Sep 27, 2026
Audience
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Earliest in this view
Jul 3, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 27, 2026

    Out in Arizona (opens the original)

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    <img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="683" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6e9r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbff45bed-cff8-4b7a-b59f-21d9d7f69200_1024x683.jpe

  2. Issue · Sep 10, 2026

    I Watched All 38 Nats Blown Saves (opens the original)

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    A new, analytical front office. A record-low payroll. An offense capable of producing fireworks. A haphazard rotation led by a flourishing former top prospect. And a bullpen that will live in infamy. The story of this Nationals team will include all of that, but as the offense has lagged and the playoffs have become impossible instead of unlikely, none has gotten more attention than the last one. On September 8th, 2026, the Washington Nationals Bullpen blew their 38th save, a feat never before m

  3. Issue · Sep 4, 2026

    2026 Nats Post-Prospect Scouting (opens the original)

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    More than a month ago, I published an updated Nationals Farm System Analysis, in which I wrote up more than seventy players in the Nats’ minor league system. That exercise is both the most popular and most time-consuming work I publish. What it misses, however, is that an organization’s future is never defined solely by the players in the minors.With that in mind, I decided to repeat the exercise for Nats currently on the major league roster with fewer than four years of service time who did not

  4. Issue · Aug 29, 2026

    August and Brady House’s Twelve Minutes (opens the original)

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    Yesterday, I didn’t have to go into work until close to 11 a.m., so my morning was methodical. Like the baseball fans of generations before mine, I wandered into my kitchen, made a cup of coffee, and sat down to read the box scores. Because I'm twenty-three1 and it is 2026, that looks more like scrolling through Twitter the way my grandfather would have parsed the Sports section of his paper copy of The Washington Post. Two stories stood out to me, one by Jesse Dougherty of NOTUS and another by

  5. Issue · Aug 23, 2026

    Introducing Bat Speed Responsiveness (opens the original)

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    Disclaimer: This piece is both more academic and dense than my typical work.SummaryStatcast measures both bat speed and swing length, values intrinsically linked by the process through which the bat gains rotational velocity over the course of the swing. Higher bat speed is shown to increase exit velocity and batted-ball production. Additional swing length can offer hitters a path to this increased bat speed, albeit with contact and timing tradeoffs. This raises an interesting research question:

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