HeyJaredStrategy & History
Analysis of key national security issues, offering timely insights and lessons from past experiences.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
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- Sep 30, 2026
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- Jul 14, 2026
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We Warned You. The Iraq War Was a Disaster (opens the original)
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The Iraq War cost almost $3 Trillion and the direct deaths of over 550,000 people, including over 4,500 U.S. soldiers, according the Costs of War Project at Brown University. Many of us warned in March 2003 that invading Iraq was unnecessary and could turn into a disaster. I focused on possible nuclear threats from Saddam Hussein from my perch as the director of the non-proliferation program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington, D.C. In a series of reports, ar
The Madman Cometh (opens the original)
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This story was originally published in New Lines Magazine on September 25.In 1956, when Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev said “We will bury you,” it was widely (though incorrectly) understood for decades as a mad leader threatening America with destruction. Seventy years later, for the first time in history, a U.S. leader unambiguously threatened genocide at the United Nations.It was not a euphemism. When he addressed the U.N. General Assembly on Sept. 22, President Donald Trump was absolutely c
The Circular History of National Missile Defense (opens the original)
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Last week, I joined a panel of experts discussing yet another national missile defense scheme. But Donald Trump’s “Golden Dome” is all gold and no dome. It cannot possibly work.Golden Dome repeats the rejected idea of the late Lt. General Daniel O. Graham who, in the 1980’s, proposed circling the earth with a constellation of space-based interceptors. He called it <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/li
Donald Trump Will Soon Have New Ways to Start a Nuclear War (opens the original)
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This article was originally published in The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists on September 11. You can read the entire article on the Bulletin’s excellent web site.A new nuclear policy is taking shape in secret, crafted by a small group of Pentagon officials, that will give President Donald Trump more ways to start a nuclear war. Little is known about the strategic nuclear review now under way in the Trump administration, but officials’ comments suggest that
9/11 Was Tragic. What Followed Was Worse. (opens the original)
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Every American over the age of 35 — or about 56 percent of the U.S. population — remembers where they were on 9/11. I was in my fourth year of directing the nuclear program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. My research associate and co-author of Deadly Arsenals, Miriam Rajkumar, came into my office early that morning and said a plane had hit the World Trade Center. But it wasn’t until she came back and told me another plane had hit that I understood w
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