Strategic Simplicity
Trying to explain new and old, arcane and obscure international security issues in a conversational format.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
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- Sep 22, 2026
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- Aug 10, 2026
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Parity in Arms Control (opens the original)
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The Perils of Shallow Theory Redux (opens the original)
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Just over twenty years ago, my first peer reviewed article (co-authored with the awesome Josh Rovner) appeared in the International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence. Entitled “The Perils of Shallow Theory,” it critiqued the theories of intelligence failure presented in the report of The 9/11 Commission. We bluntly noted “the theories are underdeveloped, contradictory, and basically unsatisfying on their own terms.” Those shallow theories led to suboptima
Interview with Rose Gottemoeller (opens the original)
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Rose Gottemoeller needs no introduction to regular listeners, however, it’s possible you didn’t see the release of her recent book on U.S.-Russia relations titled “Security Through Cooperation: Space, Nuclear Weapons, and US-Russia Relations After the Cold War.” During the podcast, we cover the post-Cold War U.S.-Russia relationship, from hopeful early days to the negative trajectory that marks the relationship for the past 15-20 years. Rose also points to what changes may need to happen for the
Technology and Politics in Arms Competition (opens the original)
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We set out to discuss recent articles in the Orbis Journal of World Affairs by Lowell - a return guest on the Strategic Simplicity Podcast - and Austin Long. Each author raised different aspects of nuclear competition in their articles, with Lowell focusing on the possible “nuclear relationships” the United States may choose with Russia and China, and the impacts that may have nuclear forces and arms control policy. Austin’s article - shockingly - reviews Cold War superpower relations with a par
Don't Call It A Scud Hunt: Observations on Recent Counterforce Operations (opens the original)
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Since 1991, any time the topic of finding and attacking mobile missiles has been broached, analysts of a certain bent immediately reach for an analogy to the Scud Hunt of the 1991 Gulf War. Brendan Green and I summarized examples of this view in 2015:James Acton notes that during the war ‘the United States launched about 1,500 sorties against Scud launchers … not a single mobile launcher was confirmed destroyed.’ Gerson <a href="https://w
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