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Newsletter · By Sophos Alpha · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
7
Latest publication
Sep 28, 2026
Audience
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Earliest in this view
Jul 26, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    Institutional Monitor (opens the original)

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    Key TakeawaysEnergy leads the S&P this year while moving against almost every other sector, and the index now trades against oil harder than at any point since the 1990 Gulf War, leaving any index book without Energy effectively short oil.CTAs remain long the S&P and vol control funds sit at their fullest in a year after a month of building, so both books are loaded into a calm tape and would be selling together once volatility returns.Levered funds leaned against the Nasdaq’s record close with

  2. Issue · Sep 21, 2026

    Institutional Monitor (opens the original)

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    Key TakeawaysThe 10-year is above 5% and at the top of its multi-year range, a setup seen nineteen times since 1964 and followed by below-normal equity returns out to a year, widest over the next quarter.CTAs are still long the S&P after a trim, not a turn, and vol control funds have re-levered: fuller books, so upside is thinly bought and a break has length to sell.Positive dealer gamma and a rebuilt order book absorbed the FOMC session, and that cushion holds while gamma stays this high.<a cla

  3. Issue · Sep 13, 2026

    Institutional Monitor (opens the original)

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    Key TakeawaysTrend followers are full in US equities and trimming everywhere else. The upside from here draws little buying; a break lower has a lot of length behind it.The calm is mechanical. Dealers are pinning the tape and vol control funds are buying it without price doing anything, which holds until the first real shock and then reverses.Positioning is thin where the tape is calm and stretched where it is not: levered funds pressing index shorts into a week that turns on the FOMC and a quar

  4. Issue · Sep 7, 2026

    Institutional Monitor (opens the original)

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    Key TakeawaysHedge funds are deployed but not directional. The book is fully invested while net exposure sits at its lowest in over a year, leaving the most room to re-lever of any cohort we track.CTAs have run elevated longs since April with nothing left to add, so further upside draws only marginal buying while a downside break has real length to sell.Positive dealer gamma and a rebuilt order book are doing the shock absorption, and the Nasdaq’s record positioning build means that cushion is n

  5. Issue · Aug 29, 2026

    Institutional Monitor (opens the original)

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    Key TakeawaysHedge funds are hedged, not out. The book is still fully deployed, but the way it is held has quietly shifted to the most defensive setup in a year.Bonds are where the asymmetry sits. Systematic positioning is one-sided across the entire government bond complex, and the risk is not where most expect.The calm is doing more work than it looks. Vol is pinned near multi-year lows, but the mechanics holding it there are thinner than the tape suggests.<a class="button primary" href="https

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