HeyJaredRogue Systems Recon
Weekly systems-based analysis and forecasts focused on Ukraine's fight for freedom across core domains. Independent, non-partisan, backs Ukraine 100%.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 13
- Latest publication
- Sep 29, 2026
- Audience
- Checking…
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 15, 2026
Latest issues
The Great Tech Race In Ukraine - Uniting Factory And Front (opens the original)
Read excerpt
Ukrainian counteroffensive work is ongoing, and the lack of publicity about two of the operations apparently underway suggests they’re doing just fine. The understated claims made by Third Army Corps in its sector indicate that operation is proceeding as planned too. Muscovite advances this week were minimal, and in most cases effectively moot. Sending people to their death as lonesome infiltrators is sure sign of a system trapped in a dead end.When trying to understand the current state of the
A Six Month Sprint To Victory In Ukraine? (opens the original)
Read excerpt
Operation Vivaldi continues, and the participating Ukrainian units are maintaining an admirable degree of operational security as it proceeds. It remains impossible to tell whether this is a large and sustained counteroffensive, something smaller, or even a feint.But the thing is happening, it’s significant, and successful so far. Even if most georeferencers are holding back on publishing anything sensitive as a courtesy to Ukrainian fighters risking their lives out there, enough pro-orc types e
Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi: The Big One? (opens the original)
Read excerpt
It sure looks like this is it. The major Ukrainian counteroffensive that I’ve been forecasting all year is definitely happening. The thing has apparently been underway for several weeks, coming right on schedule. First indicators appeared in open sources back in August, as readers may remember. Over the past couple weeks, they’ve firmed up in a big way.Then yesterday, Third Army Corps commander Biletskyi publicly confirmed the operation and supplied its code name: Vivaldi. Like the composer’s mo
Ukraine’s Slow-Play Liberation Campaign (opens the original)
Read excerpt
Evidence is rapidly accumulating: the Ukrainians are up to their old tricks, if with a new paint job for the age of drone. Counteroffensive operations have been ramping up steadily since early this year, pretty much in sync with the escalation of Deep and Middle Strike activity.The results are coming into view at a longer delay than open-source observers are used to after the immediacy and constant series of first-ever instances which characterized the earlier phases of the fighting. But they’re
The Long Death Rattle Of Putin’s Zombie War On Ukraine (opens the original)
Read excerpt
August is over, and with it Moscow’s only hope of scoring a breakthrough in 2026. No doubt assault operations will intensify as the weather worsens and before the leaves come off the vegetation, but orc chances of meaningful success at this point are approaching nil.The geography of the battlefield has irrevocably changed. Too much combat power is intercepted before it comes anywhere near Ukrainian positions for Moscow’s armies to do more than waste resources effectively punching at sand.Yet a c
Publishing over time
Last 90 days. Choose a month to open its work.
Recurring subjects
Named in the text we hold. One piece can cover several.
Audience
No verified audience measurement yet.
About this data
Counts cover the work we have indexed. Tone needs enough text and a confident classification. Excerpts and episode notes are not full articles or transcripts.
Identity or attribution wrong? Suggest a correction.