Rebel Capitalist News Desk
Hard-hitting macro insights for freedom-minded investors like you!
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 15
- Latest publication
- Sep 30, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Jul 28, 2026
Latest issues
Interest Rates Just Hit a 2002 High. It Is Not the Debt That Should Scare You. (opens the original)
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Rebel Capitalist Weekly Report | Sep 27, 2026 (opens the original)
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The Number That Reset the Whole BoardEvery so often a data point lands hard enough to move every market at once. This week it was the flash PMI.Manufacturing came in at 57 against a forecast of 53.5. Services printed 58.7 against an expectation closer to 56. The composite hit 58.4, which S&P Global flagged as the fastest pace of growth in more than five years. On paper, the American economy just went into fifth gear.The bond market did not shrug. Within
The $2 Trillion Apartment Bomb Is Really a Bank Story (opens the original)
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The Fed Just Hiked Rates. The Bond Market Disagreed. (opens the original)
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TL;DRThe Fed raised rates a quarter point to 3.75 to 4 percent, its first hike since 2023, and signaled one more before year-end.The tell was not the hike. It was the 10-year Treasury yield, which fell on the hawkish news instead of spiking. The bond market is not buying the inflation-spiral story.This inflation is a supply shock, not a demand boom: oil near $105, a record diesel crack spread, diesel above $6 a gallon. A quarter point does nothing to any of it.The strong-economy case does not ho
The Fed Is About To Hike Into An Oil War | Weekly Report | Sep 13, 2026 (opens the original)
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The TapeThis Wednesday the Federal Reserve is going to do something it has not done in this cycle. It is going to raise interest rates into a slowing economy, and the market has already made its peace with it. As of the close, the CME FedWatch tool put the odds of a September hike north of 90 percent. A few weeks ago that same number was a coin flip.The 10-year Treasury yield brushed 5 percent this week, the first time it has printed a five-handle since 20
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