Prof Robert Pape
Prof Robert Pape is a Substack about war, terrorism, and how political conflicts intensify, why they become difficult to reverse, and what strategies can contain them—along with reflections on the broader context and implications of political violence.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 23
- Latest publication
- Sep 30, 2026
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- Checking…
- Earliest in this view
- Sep 5, 2026
Latest issues
THE STRATEGIC LESSONS OF THE IRAN WAR — AND WHAT THEY MEAN FOR PAKISTAN (opens the original)
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On September 16, I had the privilege of delivering an invited keynote address at Pakistan’s National Defence University in Islamabad on the strategic lessons of the Iran War and what they mean for Pakistan.I’m sharing the full video of that address with you today.NDU is Pakistan’s apex institution for the study of strategy, statecraft, warfare, public policy and national security, and its National Security and War Course prepares senior military and government leaders for higher command and staf
Putin’s Summer of Folly – How Successful Was Russia in Ukraine in the Last 120 Days? (opens the original)
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The Grand Rhetoric of an Unstoppable OffensiveThroughout the summer of 2026, Vladimir Putin projected absolute, unshakeable confidence in Russia’s military inevitability.In May, during his annual Victory Day address on Red Square, he declared that “Russia is unbreakable,” assuring his domestic audience that his armed forces were poised to decisively defeat any threat. By June, following tightly controlled domestic elections, he used state media to boast that Russia’s offensive operations were mo
Link to Live Briefing Today at 1pm ET (opens the original)
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https://open.substack.com/live-stream/379898?utm_source=live-stream-scheduled-upsell Read more
WHAT HAPPENS AFTER IRAN’S SEVEN-DAY CLOCK RUNS OUT? (opens the original)
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Iran has now put a seven-day plan on the table: if the United States accepts its conditions, Tehran says the Strait of Hormuz can reopen within seven days, followed by renewed negotiations over the nuclear issue. The proposal would require Washington to lift its naval blockade, ease oil sanctions and accept a ceasefire.But what happens if Washington does not accept it?That is similar to a question I explored in an earlier discussion I had with Mario.The reason this conversation is relevant now i
The Post-American World and the Tragic Rise of Preventive War (opens the original)
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The liberal international order was in steep decline long before the war with Iran. For years, its foundational pillars—free-trade agreements, international institutions, and collective security pacts—were fracturing under the pressure of great-power competition, rising protectionism, and a return to raw transactionality.Then came the war with Iran.This conflict did not just reshape the Middle East. It shattered the long-held assumption that American military power can reliably prevent regional
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