HeyJaredPodgecaste
The show where we talk about politics, predictions, and Brazil. podgecaste.substack.com
- Indexed episodes, last 90 days
- 4
- Latest publication
- Sep 3, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Jul 3, 2026
Latest episodes
#33: Our First Round Predictions for Brazil’s 2026 Election (opens the original)
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Podgecaste Brazil is the show where we talk about politics, predictions, and Brazil. So in that spirit, we decided to lay out a swathe of predictions for the upcoming election, looking at everything from senate and gubernatorial race outcomes to a state-by-state breakdown at the presidential level. A full write-up of these predictions, with some minor, perhaps even major, adjustments for circumstances, will be available shortly on our Substack ( podgecaste.substack.com ). We also finish the epis
#32: Campaign Pain & Champagne (opens the original)
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As Brazil’s 2026 election campaign officially gets underway, we took some time on a tie-loosening Tuesday to discuss: * Brazil is a conservative country, but is there any polling evidence to suggest that is working in Flávio Bolsonaro’s favor? * The Partido Liberal ’s struggle to form meaningful alliances in key battelgrounds. * “Barrels of beer for me; warm Coke Zero for thee.” * It’s never a good sign when you don’t get your VP pick. * Has Lula’s national sovereignty push flopped as a campaign
#31: Trump's Tariffs Strike Back (opens the original)
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As Brazil faces another round of tariffs from the Trump administration, we discuss: * Reflections on Brazil’s national mood during the World Cup. * To the extent one exists, what is the game plan here? * How Trump changed the definition of the word ‘tariff’ (which is the most beautiful word in the dictionary, by the way). * Is the PIX payment system really at risk? * Mandating American Express payments would be a more effective approach. * Flávio’s campaign is collapsing, but would anyone else b
#30: Brazil’s Lost War on Drugs (w/ Felipe Krause) (opens the original)
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Discussed: * Felipe’s early life as the son of a Brazilian diplomat. * Rediscovering his home country as an adult. * Passing Brazil’s toughest public-service entrance exam. * Journey to academia. * The evolution of Oxford University’s Latin American Studies Department. * Felipe’s assessment of why Brazilian drug policy has failed on its own terms. * Why Brazilian drug policy hardened over years of ‘progressive’ PT government. * How seriously is the terrorist designation of Brazil’s largest crimi
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