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PashaNomics

Philosophy explanations, application to the modern world, post-rationality, theories of economics and AI.

Newsletter · By Pasha Kamyshev · English · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
4
Latest publication
Sep 28, 2026
Audience
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Earliest in this view
Sep 6, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    AI doomers are anti-humanists (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Critical tone

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    My previous post talked about the following:The thinking process of using probability of events of which you are a participant is undefined mathematically. Combining low probability deltas with large possible outcomes creates justification for any potential unethical behavior.X-risk believers seem very prone to creating the very incidents they warn about, for example by starting racing AI companies, or are prone to exaggerating incidents to fit their narrative, creating a vicious cycle of incide

  2. Issue · Sep 21, 2026

    P(doom) is what got us into the AI mess (opens the original)

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    In the last few months, we have had EA / x-risk ideas break containment. AI swarms hacked HuggingFace. Nate Soares got interviewed by Tucker. Jacob Coxon talked about a 10% chance of human extinction. However, even before this, Dario has been making comments on existential risk from AI, which is the technology they are building. David Sacks rejected the calls to pace the frontierIf you haven’t been following the AI safety community for a while, you might ask: “Why would a p

  3. Issue · Sep 10, 2026

    Megastructures can speed up interstellar travel, but they have to be HUUUUGE (opens the original)

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    In this blog we consider using megastructures to speed up an interstellar ship and whether we can beat the estimates provided by rockets. Previously I spoke about rockets, which can reach on the order of 1-10%c and really struggle beyond that either due to the rocket equation, energy density or heat dissipation issues reducing the potential acceleration. Megastructures need to be used in “established” systems only and have to be used to both speed up and slow down ships. Megastructures have very

  4. Issue · Sep 6, 2026

    Heat Dissipation Is the Main Constraint in Interstellar Travel (opens the original)

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    Writing truly hard science fiction, such as __Will of the Stars__, means contending with the laws of physics as they actually are, rather than as we would like them to be.In particular, I am going to assume that the speed of light is a real constraint and that the various tropes about FTL (wormholes, warp drives, and so on) are not feasible. Given this assumption, some futurists have modeled the speed of interstellar expansion as approaching the speed of light. The idea is that sufficiently adva

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