HeyJaredNoetic engines
Thinking about how human institutions (firms, universities, states, alliances) must be redesigned for a world of abundant machine cognition, where the scarce resources become commitment, legitimacy, and enforceable cooperation.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
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- Sep 23, 2026
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- Jul 7, 2026
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On the peculiar grief of becoming unnecessary (opens the original)
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I want the machines to solve problems. There are so many questions to which I would like to know the answer before I die.When OpenAI announced its solution to the Navier–Stokes problem, a question about fluid motion that had resisted generations of mathematicians, I was delighted. The universe is large, my time in it finite, and my curiosity considerably greater than my talent. I will happily accept help. There is no requirement that the universe reveal its secrets through a paper with my name o
There is no magic bullet for AI verification (opens the original)
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In early 1963, the distance between the positions of Washington and Moscow had narrowed, absurdly and consequentially, to four visits.Nikita Khrushchev would accept three on-site inspections each year under a comprehensive nuclear test ban. The United States wanted seven. (Seismographs could not always distinguish an underground nuclear test from an earthquake, so inspectors might settle the matter…. but… they might also snoop around the testing site while they were there.)Three inspections. Sev
The Sensor Is Never Just a Sensor (opens the original)
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A sensor arrives at the negotiating table carrying more than measurements. It brings a promise of reassurance, a channel for espionage, and a fresh argument about how much uncertainty any state should bear.The sensor is never just a sensor.Today, War on the Rocks published my new essay, “Proving the Negative: Three Warnings from Arms Control for the Age of AI.” It begins with a small number that concealed a large problem. In 1963, Nikita Khrushchev proposed three annual inspections under a comp
The Future is for Meta (opens the original)
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The clouds are gathering, and the smell of digital petrichor is in the air. The storm is nearly upon us.Here I am, back writing so soon, because just as I was hoping to have a short vacation, Mark Zuckerberg published what is possibly the most intellectually consequential corporate AI manifesto yet: The Future is for Everyone. I say this not because the essay is wholly persuasive (it isn’t) but because Zuckerberg finally steps beyond the category error of treating AI safety as an engineering pro
America’s AI Controls May Be China’s Best Sales Pitch (opens the original)
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There is a peculiar danger in owning a kill switch. Sooner or later, someone decides to prove that it works. The target goes dark. And everyone watching starts shopping for a system whose switch belongs to them.This is the paradox now taking shape in the China-US contest over artificial intelligence. Washington possesses extraordinary leverage over chips, cloud infrastructure, frontier models, and the services through which much of the world accesses them. Each use of that leverage may succeed o
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