Monetary Blog | FOMC Insight Engine
Investigations into Federal Reserve policy, tested against 90 years of archival documents.
- Indexed episodes, last 90 days
- 4
- Latest publication
- Sep 2, 2026
- Audience
- Checking…
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 10, 2026
Latest episodes
The Reflection: A sitting Chairman retires the instrument he helped install, and the archive answers in the voices the institution overruled (opens the original)
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Kevin Warsh, one hundred days into his chairmanship, used Jackson Hole to retire forward guidance, the practice he helped install as a Governor during the financial crisis, arguing that Fed talk...
The Homework: The Chairman withdraws forward guidance to get an unfiltered market signal. His own institution's archive holds the dissent that says he is right — and the record of what happened when the guidance came off. (opens the original)
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Kevin Warsh, in his second meeting as Chairman, held rates unchanged at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on July 29, 2026, in a non-unanimous vote...
The Supplement: Arthur Burns tells Los Angeles that his instruments cannot reach this inflation, and names the ones that should stand beside them (opens the original)
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On December 7, 1970, Federal Reserve Chairman Arthur F. Burns told a Pepperdine College audience in Los Angeles that monetary and fiscal policy could not reach a cost-driven inflation, and asked...
The Slate: The Inference traced a rate cut timed for December, waiting on a supply-side finding the new task forces were to certify by year-end. On July 9 the Federal Reserve named the people who will certify it. Read against what each has spent a decade concluding, the roster is the finding. (opens the original)
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Warsh named fifteen independent experts to examine whether the Fed's methods can be improved. Each panel pairs a directional coalition with a credible counterweight: the coalition sets the direction, the counterweight sets the boundary — and the opponents he chose are what make the result credible.
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