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Micah Smith

Hi, my name is Micah Smith. In a world of gut feelings and lucky hunches, my team and I chose math. We don't bet on chance - we bet on certainty. The books call it 'risk management.' We call it VALIDATION!

Newsletter · By Micah Smith · English · Paid tier available · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
11
Latest publication
Sep 28, 2026
Audience
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Earliest in this view
Sep 14, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 28, 2026

    Monday Night is for closers. (opens the original)

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    One game tonight.🏈 Eagles / Bears8:15 PM ETThat’s it. Click on the game above or the button below to see the pick…<a cl

  2. Issue · Sep 27, 2026

    Most of you are chasing Saturday right now. Don't. (opens the original)

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    It’s Week 3…This is where the NFL season actually STARTS!Before I tell you what we’re on, have a look at today’s card…🏈 Sunday’s Card:Texans / Colts1:00 PM ETSeahawks / Commanders1:00 PM ETPatriots / Jaguars1:00 PM ETVikings / Buccaneers4:05 PM ETRavens / Cowboys4:25 PM ETRams / Broncos8:20 PM ET<span style="color: rgb(

  3. Issue · Sep 26, 2026

    The Saturday trap (and how not to fall for it) (opens the original)

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    There are 50+ college football games today. I’m on 7 of them. Here’s the slate:🏈 Saturday’s Card:Texas / Tennessee 12:00 PM ETColorado / Baylor 12:00 PM ETNotre Dame / Purdue 2:00 PM ETOle Miss / Florida 3:30 PM ETSouth Carolina / Alabama 7:00 PM ETOregon / USC 7:30 PM ETMinnesota / Washington 11:00 PM ET→ <a href="https:/

  4. Issue · Sep 25, 2026

    If you had the Packers last night... (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Neutral tone

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    Subject: If you had the Packers last night...Preview: I know what you’re thinking. And I know what you’re about to do at 3 PM.Tonight’s slate is live. Here’s what’s on deck:🏈 Tonight’s Card:Army / Temple<a href="https://premiumpicks.samcart.com/products/micah-smiths-premium-picks?utm_source=hubspot&utm_medium=email&u

  5. Issue · Sep 24, 2026

    12 Ferraris, a broken TV, and your Tuesday (opens the original)

    Excerpt · Critical tone

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    Quick question before tonight’s card.You seen that guy bragging about betting a million dollars a game?Twelve Ferraris in two months.Cameras rolling every time he walks up to the window.And when the bet loses?He puts his fist through a flat screen and posts that too.It’s great television. I’ll give him that.But let’s be honest about what it is.It’s a fireworks

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