HeyJaredMarket Depth
Exploring the frontiers where financial markets, macro-economics and history meet
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- Sep 30, 2026
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- Jul 17, 2026
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So it’s a great time to buy bonds, right? (opens the original)
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The last month or so has seen a number of articles in the financial pages of the UK weekend press pushing the case for middle England to buy government bonds. Bond yields exceed the average bank term deposit rate, and that smells like an opportunity.The Sunday Times has been pushing UK gilts, with the 0.5% of 2061 [ticker TG61] coming in at the top of the list with a yield of 5.44% at the time of publication1. The investment case is fairly straight forward: “a chance to earn attractive returns f
Entropy and the science behind the global debt problem. (opens the original)
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While there may be some people who haven’t heard of Albert Einstein, there are probably more who haven’t heard of Arthur Eddington, even though he was the man responsible for showing that Einstein’s theory of general relativity was valid.Einstein’s 1915 theory suggested that gravity, rather than simply being a force acting between two bodies as conceived by Newton, in fact bent space-time due to the effect of the mass of the objects concerned.It was only in 1919 when Eddington, professor of Astr
The US bond market - show, don’t tell. (opens the original)
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In a play that is well acted and directed, the audience sees through the lighting, costumes, set design, stage directions and the person of the actor, however famous, to see a true or accurate representation of the playwright’s work. This is what is meant by a good production.The same is true of music. What grates the listener’s ear is the mistakes of the unpractised or unskilled musician in butchering a well-known piece. One hears the errors and false notes in between what one knows to be Beeth
Accounting wizardry - the fertilizer for the magic money tree. (opens the original)
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Von Clausewitz suggested that war was the province of the uncertain. Ahead of what will most likely be a goody-filled November budget, so too it seems is the fiscal policy of the new British government. This uncertainty is causing consternation amongst the UK’s biggest pension funds and investors.Dame Amanda Blanc, the CEO of Aviva, has warned the government against ‘flying kites’ of potential policy changes to see how the market reacts. Jason Windsor, the CEO of Aberdeen Group, has also chimed
Central banking in the era of currency market intervention. (opens the original)
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“God is dead; but given the ways of men, perhaps for millennia to come there will be caves in which His shadow will be shown. And we - we still have to subdue His shadow!”1In the days following last week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, commentators on Wall Street have, like the bond market itself, struggled not just with the policy stance of the new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, but also with his style. In the absence of forward guidance on interest rate policy, market volatility has
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