HeyJaredLyman Stone
Lyman Stone is the Director of Research of the consulting firm Demographic Intelligence, the director of the Pronatalism Initiative at the Institute for Family Studies, and a PhD candidate at McGill University.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 12
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- Sep 29, 2026
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- Jul 7, 2026
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The Biblical Censuses Are Correct Demographic Records (opens the original)
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Longtime readers know that one of my greatest joys in life is reading the Bible, thinking about the Bible, discussing it with others, linking it to things I study, and then using this knowledge to mercilessly troll the most uptight of my brothers and sisters in Christ.So let’s talk about the censuses of Numbers.If you know anything about the Bible you probably know that the Israelites were enslaved in Egypt, then through the miraculous aid of God escaped and went to the Promised Land — what we c
Speculation: Longevity Threatens Democracy (opens the original)
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Bashar al-Assad was driven out of Syria by a rebel offensive in December 2024, at 59. Nicolás Maduro was seized by American forces in January 2026, at 63. Ali Khamenei was killed in a US-Israeli airstrike in February 2026, at 86, after thirty-six years as Supreme Leader. Before that, <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2017/11/21/africa/robert-mugabe-resigns-zimbabwe-presiden
Some Recent Fertility News (opens the original)
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Last spring I tried to do these regular fertility news roundups then I fell off the bandwagon for the Substack audience, but I still eked out the attention to do smaller versions for my corporate clients. Anyways, back to the masses! Here is some news I thought was interesting and notable.Do I post content regularly? No. Can I guarantee it’s always top-quality? No. Will I even stay on-topic with fertility all the time? No! Should you subscribe? Probably not!<form class="subsc
Should You Trust the “Total Maternity Rate”? (opens the original)
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Stephen Shaw is a well-known researcher of low fertility, as well as a populizer of the issue. He has done excellent work on both fronts, and is a professional Friend Of The Substack. In this house we think Stephen Shaw is a swell guy. However, one of his signal contributions has been the introduction of two terms: “Total Maternity Rate” (TMR) and “Children Per Woman” (CPM).I believe, with all due respect to Shaw, the introduction of these terms has been a mistake. In this post I will use data f
College Will Get More Affordable (opens the original)
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For middle class families and especially the vaunted “PMC” or “PUMC” meaning “professional-managerial class” or “professional upper-middle-class,” one of the huge things parents talk about is the college their child will attend. Well off families squirrel away tons of money in 529s to pay for school, enroll their kid in competitive resume-building activities, push their children into stressful test prep programs and extracurriculars, all in the name of getting into a good school.I am a skeptic o
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