HeyJaredLogan Mohtashami
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 45
- Latest publication
- Sep 28, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for HousingWire
- Top 500K sites
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 4, 2026
Latest articles
Are 9% mortgage rates possible? (opens the original)
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Could we really see 9% mortgage rates over the next 12 months? What is going on here? Well, right before I recorded today’s episode of the HousingWire Daily podcast, I had a series of messages asking about a CNBC segment talking about 9% mortgage rates. I went and looked at the video, and my friend Selma Hepp, chief economist at Cotality, talked about how the worst-case situation for rates could lead to 9% rates. Part of Selma’s worst-case scenario includes mortgage spreads getting worse, which
Mortgage rates have gone wild, so what’s next for housing? (opens the original)
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Wow, last week was one hell of a week for the bond market and mortgage rates climbed to 7.49% before settling at 7.43% as the bond market went wild with conflict headlines and hawkish Fed statements. Just last week in the Housing Market Tracker, I talked about what could push rates to 8% and a few of those variables came into play. How has this impacted the weekly housing data? Let’s take a look at one of the craziest weeks of the past few years. In the 2026 HousingWire forecast, I anticipated t
Mortgage spreads improve as 10-year yield jumps, rates still rise (opens the original)
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The Fed struck an even more hawkish tone today, but improving mortgage spreads helped prevent rates from climbing further. Even so, mortgage rates reached a new high for the year, while the 10-year Treasury yield hit a level not seen since 2006. So, what drove today’s surge? Oil prices rose a few dollars, but they remain well below their yearly highs. The bigger story was a combination of hot economic data and an increasingly hawkish Fed. Those are precisely the two conditions I highlighted over
Is the housing construction cycle finally breaking? (opens the original)
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Housing starts and permits have been falling for years, but things could be much worse as higher rates have taken a bite out of this sector. This sector hasn’t broken yet, as it has in other economic cycles — mostly because builders have been working with sub-6% rates for the past few years.This has slowly brought housing construction lower for years and years, instead of crashing as it has in previous cycles. However, as corporate profits fall and rates rise, this game becomes harder and harder
The Fed rate-hike cycle has started. What’s next? (opens the original)
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Today, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh gave one of the best Fed press events I have ever seen, and much of what he said sets the course for the economy and housing for the next few years. Unlike some predictions I saw that said the Fed rate hike would drive bond yields lower, yields rose even as stocks fell while Warsh was talking. Yesterday, I wrote this article about the Fed rate hike cycle and what history tells us about how it will affect mortgage rates, noting why this cycle is different than previou
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