HeyJaredJustified Posteriors
Home of the Justified Posteriors podcast + essays on economics from Andrey Fradkin and Seth Benzell.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
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- Sep 28, 2026
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- Jul 27, 2026
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Harvard Dean David Deming on AI and the Future of Harvard (opens the original)
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This week, we’re joined by David Deming, top labor economist, blogger at the Forked Lightning Substack, and — since 2025 — Undergraduate Dean of Harvard College, to ask how the value of social skills will change in the age of thinking and talking machines. We start with his QJE paper “The Growing Importance of Social Skills in the Labor Market,” which models social skills as a factor that reduces coordination costs, plus his new work arguing that meetings must be important because Norwegian work
Daron Acemoglu on pro-worker AI and vibes based capital (opens the original)
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We’re honored to host Daron Acemoglu, Institute Professor at MIT and 2024 Nobel laureate. Daron has spent a decade arguing that AI should be built to make human expertise more valuable rather than to replace it, most recently in “Building Pro-Worker AI” with David Autor and Simon Johnson, and in a Nature essay on why we should stop talking about AGI</st
Measuring Diminishing Returns to LLM Intelligence (opens the original)
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This essay is related to ongoing research with Stella Si, Giorgos Zervas, Mert Demirer, Aaron Kaye, and Nadav Tadelis. This analysis is vibe-coded and should be considered preliminary. More rigorous work on this topic is in progress. Epistemic status: Possible.A pivotal question for the AI industry is whether frontier models can sustain a large price premium over open-weight and other cheaper models. If they can, frontier labs may capture much of the industry’s profits. If models at different ca
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