John Dee's Almanac
A former NHS Head of Department (Clinical Audit) and applied statistician explores the story of human health as seen through numbers. My archived COVID work up to Dec 2025 is free-to-view; articles from Jan 2026 are a mix of freebie and pay-to-view.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 9
- Latest publication
- Sep 23, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Jul 17, 2026
Latest issues
Founding Member Equinox Treat (opens the original)
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This afternoon, at 4pm BST, founding members over in John Dee’s Climate Normal are getting a sneak preview of a dataset I’m building for the study of the urban heat island effect. At 3am BST this morning I realised the same dataset could be used to explore the role of urbanisation in rise of modern diseases.Sure, we have lifestyle, nutrition, education, and medical advances to consider (and many more besides), but I sat wondering if aspects of urban development might also correlate with the rise
Leaping Death (part 3) (opens the original)
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In part 2 of this series I offered up four slides revealing the mean weekly observed registered death count for England & Wales for the period 2017 w1 – 2026 w32. I now need to repeat this for mean weekly crude mortality; and here are those slides…All Cause Crude MortalityWinter<a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3yng!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cd55
Heads-Up For Subscribers (opens the original)
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Up to now I’ve been sending out free-to-view fortnightly articles to both freebie and paying subscribers that have been automatically archived behind a paywall after 2 weeks. As from today only paying subscribers will receive articles, and the online archive will become strictly pay-to-view. Articles for paying subscribers will be sent out fortnightly on a regular basis.If I can find time I’ll still pen the occasional freebie article for John Dee’s Almanac, but these days time is very short sinc
Leaping Death (part 2) (opens the original)
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In part 1 I promised 8 slides following a trip to the shops to grab a bag of Grumpy Mule. With that all done, and a decent cup of coffee on the brew, then I suspect it is best to start out with registered deaths by season first, then have a look at crude mortality by season later on. My reluctance to dive into crude mortality straight away is that I don’t, as yet, trust the rusty mid-year population estimates issued by the ONS that I have sitting on my HDD. Get these wrong and a serious amount o
Leaping Death (part 1) (opens the original)
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Influenza is not revealing its secrets that easily, and so my interest has faded like our lettuces in the recent heatwave. And it was this heatwave that got me cooking in the kitchen over in John Dee’s Climate Normal, starting with this article. All was going well, and I thought I had a handle on things, until I plotted out ONS weekly all cause death registrations and crude mortality in England & Wales for what I called the pseudo-summer season (week 21 to week 31 of each year). Here are the ver
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