HeyJaredHerding Cats & Polls
Exploring how politicians, the mass public, and cats are alike: They're all fickle, doing whatever suits them regardless of whether it makes sense, making life difficult for those who want to analyze them.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 10
- Latest publication
- Sep 22, 2026
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- Checking…
- Earliest in this view
- Aug 4, 2026
Latest issues
This midterm isn’t 2018 all over again. It’s 2006. (opens the original)
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Read my full column for National Journal here; excerpt below.Analysis of the 2026 midterm environment often looks to 2018 as a point of comparison. It’s an understandable choice since the 2018 midterms also hinged on voters’ perceptions of a Donald Trump presidency. Recency bias also leads us to look to more recent events for insight. Certainly there are similarities between 2026 and 2018, but where we are 20 years later looks remarkably like 2006.President George W. Bush’
This Week in AI Politics, 9/21 (opens the original)
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Interesting SurveysPolitico released a poll titled “Americans say there’s a serious risk of AI destroying humanity,” with a subheader noting that 63% think AI poses “at least a moderate risk of destroying humanity.”So let’s break this down. The question asked, “In your view, is ther
This week in AI politics, 9/14 (opens the original)
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Hello to my new subscribers! If you came here via my guest post with The Long View/WelcomeStack, here’s what I typically do with this Substack:Send you the columns I write for National Journal - every 2 weeksThis week in AI politics - what you’re getting right now - a short newsletter on polling on AI and its impacts on politics - every Monday until the election (and TBD after). I took off last week for Labor Day and because I was traveling.Original pieces like the secular religion post that The
How to 'never forget' 9/11 when a whole generation has nothing to remember (opens the original)
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My column this week for National Journal - excerpt below; click here to read the whole thing.At the 25th anniversary of 9/11, an increasing proportion of our population doesn’t remember it. It’s in the history books, but not a visceral memory of a devastating moment in time. As Pew Research notes, 10 percent of today’s adult
'Working-class' has become a meaningless political designation (opens the original)
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My column this week for National Journal - excerpt below; click here to read the whole thing. The political world talks more about “working-class” voters than any other group, so you’d think we would all agree on who that is. You would be wrong. If you ask 10 different people to define the working class, you will get 10 different definitions. Those definitions might have some commonalities, but there is no consensus on who we’re talking about.</
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