Event Horizon
Prediction markets news, analysis and legal insights covering Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, DraftKings, regulation, litigation, sports event contracts and the future of event trading.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 23
- Latest publication
- Sep 30, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Aug 26, 2026
Latest issues
Prediction Markets Need To Let Us Trade On The Future Of Prediction Markets (opens the original)
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Prediction markets are all about hedging, right? So why can’t we hedge on whether the prediction market industry will get to keep sports event contracts? After all, I am a small business that depends on the future of prediction markets. This is why people read this newsletter. I need a place to hedge.Right now we can only trade on whether the US Supreme Court will take a case about event contracts, not the result. And only on Polymarket:<a href="https://download.ssrn.com/2026/9/18/7485679.pdf?re
You Definitely Can Stop Offshore Prediction Markets (opens the original)
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<img alt="Sail Boat GIFs | Tenor" class="sizing-normal" height="300" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUOT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_lossy/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd206f25d-7458-4045-89f4-47f614b2fc65_220x165.gif" title="
Episode 34: The Future Of Prediction Markets With Public’s Leif Abraham (opens the original)
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Leif Abraham, a co-founder and co-CEO of Public.com, came on the show to talk about the company’s launch of prediction markets via Kalshi:From the press release:Public, the world's first agentic brokerage, today announced the launch of AI Agents for Prediction Markets, enabling members to trade on events that can shape financial ma
Kalshi Self-Certifies New Steph Curry Markets Despite Past League Objections (opens the original)
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If you want to catch me in person, a lot of opportunities coming up!Sept. 28-30 in Vegas for G2EOct. 5-8 at PREDICT conference, NYCOct. 21-23, NEXTPredict, NYCLeagues don’t seem to like markets about player movement and team transactions.Nonetheless, Kalshi just certified more markets related to those things based on the NBA, and in particular superstar Steph Curry.<a class="image-link image2" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sQnx!,f_auto,q_auto:goo
Report: World Cup Broadcasts Averaged Almost One Prediction Market Logo Per Minute (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="693" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bfow!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F595c5963-cbbf-4279-88b6-0737279f1972_1794x854.png"
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