HeyJaredDouglas Schoen
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 13
- Latest publication
- Oct 1, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for San Diego Union-Tribune
- Top 100K sites
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- Jul 10, 2026
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Douglas Schoen: Nobody won the gubernatorial debate, but Californians lost (opens the original)
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Watching Wednesday’s California gubernatorial debate, one could be forgiven for assuming the contest was between President Trump and incumbent Gov. Gavin Newsom and that the issues facing California were merely an afterthought. Indeed, Xavier Becerra, the Democratic front-runner to replace Newsom repeatedly tried tying Republican candidate Steve Hilton to the president, including four times in one sentence. According to a CNN count, Becerra, who served Secretary of Health and Human Services in t
Trump’s fiery UN address masks growing Republican panic (opens the original)
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Even for President Trump, famous for his habit of contradicting himself, his speech at the United Nations on Tuesday was impressive. Indeed, just weeks after imploring Republicans to consider him on the ballot in an effort to stave off what polls suggest could be a landslide midterm defeat, Trump told world leaders the opposite. Explaining why the war in Iran has not ended nearly seven months in, Trump said the regime in Tehran was “waiting to see how I do” in November. He then added, “What they
Newsom’s deference to Harris: Masterstroke or mistake? (opens the original)
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When Gov. Gavin Newsom told CNN’s Jake Tapper that he would not run for president in 2028 if former Vice President Kamala Harris does, it shocked Tapper, who reacted “with incredulity” according to Politico. Newsom has long been a top candidate in Democrats’ 2028 polls, has spent years building his national profile, and is one of only a handful of Democrats with the name recognition and donor base at this point, so why defer to someone else? The logic, as the governor described it to Tapper, is
California may soon understand why Europe largely abandoned wealth taxes (opens the original)
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Democrats are right about the problem. They are wrong, however, about the solution. That is the honest way to frame Proposition 40, the ballot measure Californians will vote on this November. It would impose a one-time 5% tax on the accumulated wealth of taxpayers with assets valued over $1 billion – including unrealized gains – to help fund health care following federal cuts. The instinct behind pursuing such a policy is understandable. Wealth in the U.S. is extremely concentrated, perhaps more
The enthusiasm gap is real, but how much will it actually help Democrats? (opens the original)
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More than presidential elections, midterms are often decided by which side shows up. With the White House not up for grabs, turnout tends to be considerably lower – in 2018, 49% of eligible voters cast a ballot, versus 64% for the 2024 presidential election. Put another way, persuasion matters less in midterms, and the party whose voters are angrier and more motivated usually walks away the winner. That makes enthusiasm and the gap between voters for both parties one of the surest tells in a mid
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