Don't Worry About the Vase
A world made of gears. Doing both speed premium short term updates and long term world model building. Currently focused on weekly AI updates. Explorations include AI, policy, rationality, medicine and fertility, education and games.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 33
- Latest publication
- Sep 30, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Aug 29, 2026
Latest issues
A ‘Morally Binding’ White House Accord on AI Safety (opens the original)
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The leaders in AI were invited to the White House. We left with a White House agreement that is nonzero Actual Progress rather than a step backwards. The key to success, in many situations, is to call the whole operation something else.When you have one side that cares mostly about vibes, and the other that cares about the substance, this suggests a deal that can be struck.Suddenly everyone agrees on everything. Works for me.That doesn’t mean peace in our time. The next fight is already ramping
Astra 6.1 Pulled As Insufficiently Aligned (opens the original)
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We once again got a new set of warnings yesterday, and new movement towards living in a sane world. On the heels of its pause in inference and training due to its latest sandbox escape, OpenAI has cancelled the planned release of their next frontier model, which would have become Astra 6.1. The candidate for Astra 6.1 was found to be too misaligned, including deception and exceeding scope. This leaves Anthropic in a strong position with Opus 5.5, which means they can afford to reciprocate by hol
What Also Happened: #NotOnlyHuggingFace (opens the original)
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OpenAI has been holding out on us. First we learned about the HuggingFace incident. They gave us a postmortem, but it was highly incomplete. Even the accompanying holy s*** METR investigation and postmortem was localized and incomplete.Then there were some other incidents involving some Wikis as message boards.Then there were some additional incidents.Then there was that time they got into Austr
The Quest for Embedded Evaluators (opens the original)
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Dario Amodei’s essay We Must Pace the Frontier committed Anthropic to embedded evaluators, who would be placed inside Anthropic and given employee-level access, so they could provide outside perspective and also reports on what was happening.There is only one problem. Who will be the evaluators? OpenAI followed suit on committing to the evaluators, and also issued a milquetoast but welcome call for international coordination. I will cover that here as well.What I won’t cover today, but hope to c
Claude Opus 5.5 Should Raise Your Ambitions (opens the original)
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When it comes to making things, or doing most things in general, Fable 5.1 and especially GPT-6 Astra raised my ambition level. They should have raised yours, too. Claude Opus 5.5 should raise your ambition levels again. It just works, and it persists, like Astra does. It does the things. And it is highly pleasant to talk to, and its writing is pleasant to read, while you are at it. The game has been changed, again.Feedback is almost universally positive. Claude was never gone, but also is so ba
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