Decision Desk HQ
Home to Decision Desk HQ's analysis of U.S. elections and politics, led by The Bellwether newsletter.
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- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 14
- Latest publication
- Sep 28, 2026
- Audience
- Checking…
- Earliest in this view
- Sep 4, 2026
Latest issues
How the biggest swings from 2024 will decide the Senate (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="908" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1kk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe77a8ec6-b5a4-44d0-bf66-906a95ec6e4e_1483x925.png"
Episode 45: Could Talarico Really Turn Texas Blue? With Gabby Birenbaum from The Texas Tribune (opens the original)
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Just two years after voting for President Trump by nearly 14 percentage points, Texas has become an unexpected frontline swing state. The Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton has drawn national attention, with polls and the DDHQ forecast both showing Talarico with a lead. Dem
📈 Peltola is a slight favorite to flip Alaska (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="908" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eZHf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F52ec3f41-e4d1-4e7e-8718-cec6aeb30608_1483x925.png"
2026 could set a modern record for congressional turnover (opens the original)
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📈 Can Susan Collins outrun the polls in Maine again? (opens the original)
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<img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="908" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bZB9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51c1910a-a70d-4698-9a1e-58cb4edd45cf_1483x925.png"
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