HeyJaredDan Szymborski
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 32
- Latest publication
- Sep 28, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for FanGraphs
- Top 100K sites
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 8, 2026
Latest articles
The Unbearable Lightness of Being in the Wild Card Series: Phillies vs. Braves NL Wild Card Preview (opens the original)
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If you want a good example of how quickly fortunes change in baseball, just look at the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves. This year, the Phillies just barely avoided an embarrassing collapse that almost knocked them out of the playoffs completely, while the Braves had a hot April and never saw their season in any kind of real jeopardy. Just two years ago, you could perfectly flip-flop the two teams, with the Braves barely hanging on before getting quickly knocked out by the San Diego
The 2026 ZiPS Game-by-Game Postseason Odds Are Live! (opens the original)
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Baseball’s labor fight might get ugly in two months, but for now, we have the joy and chaos that is the postseason. And since the whole purpose of a baseball projection system is to project baseball, the ZiPS game-by-game postseason probabilities are now live. These projections are almost certainly going to see some shifts as team rosters, lineups, and starting pitchers firm up as we get closer to the start of play. And when it comes to starting pitchers, the changes could be significant! Hat ti
Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/17/26 (opens the original)
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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 9/17/26 by Dan Szymborski September 17, 2026 12:01 Dan Szymborski: The appointed time has arrived. 12:01 robertobeers: A man, a Dan, a chat, odds of two losing records in the playoffs? sffoyalpethinsdrocergnisolowtfosddotahcanadanama 12:01 Dan Szymborski: It’s getting into low single digits now. There are enough contenders in the AL hovering around .500 that it’s likely that both the ALC and wild cards will now be marginally winning teams 12:03 Charles Bengal Tige
Is Gavin Williams an Ace for Real? (opens the original)
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ZiPS has been generally one of the most positive projection systems in recent years regarding the Cleveland Guardians, but it has not been quite as excited about them when it comes to the postseason. The reason? Throughout the 2020s, their rotation has typically been thoroughly competent, but not very top-heavy, and the sprint of the playoffs is a different beast than the marathon of the regular season. This season, Cleveland is hovering around the .500 mark, but that’s no fault of the starting
Judge’s Court Is Back in Session (opens the original)
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Going 0-for-3 with two strikeouts is not typically a line in a boxscore that is hailed as a grand success for the batter or the team. In this case, however, it represented Aaron Judge’s return to the Yankees’ lineup, the first time he appeared in a game in more than three months. With the Tampa Bay Rays proving to be stubbornly intransigent about complying with the whole regression toward the mean thing, getting Judge back is incredibly important for the Yankees as they try to challenge for the
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